Using Age and Spatial Flow Structures in the Indirect Estimation of Migration Streams


Raymer, James and Rogers, Andrei (2005) Using Age and Spatial Flow Structures in the Indirect Estimation of Migration Streams. Southampton, UK, Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, 36pp. (S3RI Applications and Policy Working Papers, (A05/07) ).

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Description/Abstract

This paper presents a modeling strategy for describing and estimating interregional migration flows. The categorical log-linear model is used to demonstrate various approaches to estimation, including direct and indirect methods. And estimates of known data on interdivisional migration patterns in the United States during the 1995-2000 period are used to illustrate the effectiveness of the various log-linear models. The important aspects of the modeling strategy presented in this paper include parameter interpretation, incorporation of auxiliary or a priori information, and assessment of the various model predictions. The results show that capturing the interactions between origins and destinations are very important for accurate predictions.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HA Statistics
Divisions: University Structure - Pre August 2011 > Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute
ePrint ID: 17457
Date Deposited: 27 Sep 2005
Last Modified: 27 Mar 2014 18:07
Publisher: Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/17457

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