Public confidence in the police: a time-series analysis

Sindall, K., Sturgis, P. and Jennings, W. (2012) Public confidence in the police: a time-series analysis. British Journal of Criminology, 52, (4), 744-764. (doi:10.1093/bjc/azs010).


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Empirical analyses of the causes of public confidence in policing have been based almost entirely on cross-sectional survey data, with a consequent focus on between-group differences in levels of confidence at a single point in time. Our aim here is to introduce a time dimension to this area of investigation. Employing repeated cross-sectional survey data from the British Crime Survey, we apply time-series regression methods to show how confidence in policing changes over time for the aggregate population. Counter to cross-sectional findings, time series analyses reveal that confidence in the police is not related to aggregate worry about crime and perceptions of social cohesion, nor informal social control, but only to perceptions of crime and the property crime rate.

Item Type: Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi:10.1093/bjc/azs010
ISSNs: 0007-0955 (print)
1464-3529 (electronic)
Keywords: confidence in policing, time-series regression analysis, british crime survey, confidence in policing
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HA Statistics
H Social Sciences > HT Communities. Classes. Races
K Law > K Law (General)
Divisions : Faculty of Social and Human Sciences > Social Sciences > Social Statistics & Demography
ePrint ID: 209601
Accepted Date and Publication Date:
July 2012Published
30 May 2012Made publicly available
Date Deposited: 31 Jan 2012 12:15
Last Modified: 31 Mar 2016 13:49

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