Are seasonal patterns constant over time? A test for seasonal stability

Canova, F. and Hansen, B.E. (1995) Are seasonal patterns constant over time? A test for seasonal stability. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 13, (3), 237-252. (doi:10.2307/1392184).


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This paper introduces Lagrange multiplier tests of the null hypothesis of no unit roots at seasonal frequencies against the alternative of a unit root at either a single seasonal frequency or a set of seasonal frequencies. The tests complement those of D. Dickey, D. Hasza, and W. Fuller (1984) and S. Hylleberg, et al. (1990), which examine the null of seasonal unit roots. The authors derive an asymptotic distribution theory for the tests and investigate their size and power with a Monte Carlo exercise. Application of three sets of seasonal variables shows that, in most cases, seasonality is nonstationary.

Item Type: Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI): doi:10.2307/1392184
ISSNs: 0735-0015 (print)
Related URLs:
Subjects: H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
Divisions : University Structure - Pre August 2011 > School of Social Sciences > Economics
ePrint ID: 32932
Accepted Date and Publication Date:
July 1995Published
Date Deposited: 08 Jan 2008
Last Modified: 06 Aug 2015 02:30

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