Selective revelation of public information and self-confirming equilibrium
Maniadis, Zacharias (2011) Selective revelation of public information and self-confirming equilibrium. International Journal of Game Theory, 17pp. (Submitted).
We model aggregate information release, in a dynamic setting with random matching, as a conscious, preference-driven choice. We introduce a "planner", who possesses and selectively reveals aggregate information. Aggregate information is gathered slowly, by taking small samples from the population, and can only be revealed after the dynamic process has stabilized. By selectively revealing information, the planner may upset a given self-conforming equilibrium, in order to achieve a preferred outcome for him. Hence, some self-conforming equilibria are "unstable" relative to public information release. We show that only equilibria supported by heterogeneous beliefs can be information-unstable. We provide several real-life examples of manipulation by means of public information, showing the relevance of the theoretical analysis.
|Subjects:||H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HT Communities. Classes. Races
|Divisions:||Faculty of Social and Human Sciences > Social Sciences > Economics
|Date Deposited:||06 Aug 2012 16:20|
|Last Modified:||06 Aug 2012 16:22|
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