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Recent trends in Tanzanian fertility

Recent trends in Tanzanian fertility
Recent trends in Tanzanian fertility
This paper provides an assessment of the nature and magnitude of Tanzania s recent fertility decline, using robust methods for the identification of fertility trends. A decline in Tanzanian fertility began some time in the late 1970s or early 1980s. The pattern of decline exhibits similarities to patterns identified some years ago in Zimbabwe and Kenya. The decline has been especially marked in urban areas. It has been accompanied by a rapid rise in contraceptive prevalence from the very low levels before 1990 to just under 20 per cent of currently married women of reproductive age. Although falling marital fertility associated with a rise in contraceptive use is the main contributor to the decline in fertility, a rise in the average age at marriage has also made a (smaller) contribution, as has the AIDS epidemic. The fact that fertility is declining in Tanzania raises questions about the social and economic requirements for fertility transitions to begin in sub-Saharan Africa.
0032-4728
177-191
Hinde, Andrew
7b05f87f-e117-4000-b966-e98bb4c6274a
Mturi, Akim J.
a8271ca2-da21-4ef4-a4f0-fca79e8940b1
Hinde, Andrew
7b05f87f-e117-4000-b966-e98bb4c6274a
Mturi, Akim J.
a8271ca2-da21-4ef4-a4f0-fca79e8940b1

Hinde, Andrew and Mturi, Akim J. (2000) Recent trends in Tanzanian fertility. Population Studies, 54 (2), 177-191.

Record type: Article

Abstract

This paper provides an assessment of the nature and magnitude of Tanzania s recent fertility decline, using robust methods for the identification of fertility trends. A decline in Tanzanian fertility began some time in the late 1970s or early 1980s. The pattern of decline exhibits similarities to patterns identified some years ago in Zimbabwe and Kenya. The decline has been especially marked in urban areas. It has been accompanied by a rapid rise in contraceptive prevalence from the very low levels before 1990 to just under 20 per cent of currently married women of reproductive age. Although falling marital fertility associated with a rise in contraceptive use is the main contributor to the decline in fertility, a rise in the average age at marriage has also made a (smaller) contribution, as has the AIDS epidemic. The fact that fertility is declining in Tanzania raises questions about the social and economic requirements for fertility transitions to begin in sub-Saharan Africa.

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Published date: 2000

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 34212
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/34212
ISSN: 0032-4728
PURE UUID: 2d6ba033-59bf-4a00-9f6b-c6b1897abc3e

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 26 Jul 2006
Last modified: 22 Jul 2022 20:42

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Contributors

Author: Andrew Hinde
Author: Akim J. Mturi

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