Integrated modeling of European migration
Integrated modeling of European migration
International migration data in Europe are collected by individual countries with separate collection systems and designs. As a result, reported data are inconsistent in availability, definition and quality. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian model to overcome the limitations of the various data sources. The focus is on estimating recent international migration flows amongst 31 countries in the European Union and European Free Trade Association from 2002 to 2008, using data collated by Eurostat. We also incorporate covariate information and information provided by experts on the effects of undercount, measurement and accuracy of data collection systems. The methodology is integrated and produces a synthetic data base with measures of uncertainty for international migration flows and other model parameters.
international migration statistics, migration models, uncertainty, europe, bayesian modeling
801-819
Raymer, James
ed2973c1-b78d-4166-baf3-4e18f1b24070
Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz
ec9da054-45f0-4393-ad91-87e8f9750ae9
Forster, Jonathan J.
e3c534ad-fa69-42f5-b67b-11617bc84879
Smith, Peter W.F.
961a01a3-bf4c-43ca-9599-5be4fd5d3940
Bijak, Jakub
e33bf9d3-fca6-405f-844c-4b2decf93c66
28 April 2013
Raymer, James
ed2973c1-b78d-4166-baf3-4e18f1b24070
Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz
ec9da054-45f0-4393-ad91-87e8f9750ae9
Forster, Jonathan J.
e3c534ad-fa69-42f5-b67b-11617bc84879
Smith, Peter W.F.
961a01a3-bf4c-43ca-9599-5be4fd5d3940
Bijak, Jakub
e33bf9d3-fca6-405f-844c-4b2decf93c66
Raymer, James, Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz, Forster, Jonathan J., Smith, Peter W.F. and Bijak, Jakub
(2013)
Integrated modeling of European migration.
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 108 (503), .
(doi:10.1080/01621459.2013.789435).
Abstract
International migration data in Europe are collected by individual countries with separate collection systems and designs. As a result, reported data are inconsistent in availability, definition and quality. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian model to overcome the limitations of the various data sources. The focus is on estimating recent international migration flows amongst 31 countries in the European Union and European Free Trade Association from 2002 to 2008, using data collated by Eurostat. We also incorporate covariate information and information provided by experts on the effects of undercount, measurement and accuracy of data collection systems. The methodology is integrated and produces a synthetic data base with measures of uncertainty for international migration flows and other model parameters.
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Published date: 28 April 2013
Keywords:
international migration statistics, migration models, uncertainty, europe, bayesian modeling
Organisations:
Statistical Sciences Research Institute
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 353781
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/353781
ISSN: 0162-1459
PURE UUID: cdb00c3b-1426-4608-ad43-4c3bb915829d
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Date deposited: 18 Jun 2013 09:20
Last modified: 22 Aug 2025 02:01
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Contributors
Author:
James Raymer
Author:
Arkadiusz Wiśniowski
Author:
Jonathan J. Forster
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