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Estimating the fertility of migrants to England and Wales using the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study

Estimating the fertility of migrants to England and Wales using the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study
Estimating the fertility of migrants to England and Wales using the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study
Since 2001, there has been a consistent year-on-year increase in the period total fertility rate for England and Wales. At the same time migration to England and Wales has accelerated from the late 1990s. It is possible that the large number of migrants of childbearing ages moving to England and Wales, larger family size norms among foreign born women and a birth timing effect among recent migrants to England and Wales have led to the increase in the total fertility rate. However, the relative influence of any timing effect among recent migrants on the total fertility rate is not known. Research on migrant fertility in France (Toulemon, 2004) and Sweden (Andersson, 2004) has identified elevated fertility among migrants in the time period immediately after the migration event. Conversely, research in England and Wales has focused on period measures of fertility rather than estimating whether there is an elevated level of fertility among the large number of recent migrants to England and Wales. The first aim of this thesis is to accurately account for non-continually resident members of the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Longitudinal Study (LS) between census dates and use these LS members in fertility analysis. The second aim of this thesis is to investigate whether migrants to England and Wales show an elevated level of fertility after migration. It is only possible to estimate the fertility of recent migrants provided the sample exposed to risk of giving birth can be identified.
Robards, James
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Robards, James
4c79fa72-e722-4a2a-a289-1d2bad2c2343
Hinde, Andrew
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Robards, James (2012) Estimating the fertility of migrants to England and Wales using the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study. University of Southampton, Social Sciences, Doctoral Thesis, 396pp.

Record type: Thesis (Doctoral)

Abstract

Since 2001, there has been a consistent year-on-year increase in the period total fertility rate for England and Wales. At the same time migration to England and Wales has accelerated from the late 1990s. It is possible that the large number of migrants of childbearing ages moving to England and Wales, larger family size norms among foreign born women and a birth timing effect among recent migrants to England and Wales have led to the increase in the total fertility rate. However, the relative influence of any timing effect among recent migrants on the total fertility rate is not known. Research on migrant fertility in France (Toulemon, 2004) and Sweden (Andersson, 2004) has identified elevated fertility among migrants in the time period immediately after the migration event. Conversely, research in England and Wales has focused on period measures of fertility rather than estimating whether there is an elevated level of fertility among the large number of recent migrants to England and Wales. The first aim of this thesis is to accurately account for non-continually resident members of the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Longitudinal Study (LS) between census dates and use these LS members in fertility analysis. The second aim of this thesis is to investigate whether migrants to England and Wales show an elevated level of fertility after migration. It is only possible to estimate the fertility of recent migrants provided the sample exposed to risk of giving birth can be identified.

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Published date: June 2012
Organisations: University of Southampton, Social Statistics & Demography

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 354342
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/354342
PURE UUID: 7ec19101-6026-49ba-8b3d-7cbb5d49839c
ORCID for James Robards: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-4784-5679
ORCID for Andrew Hinde: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-8909-9152

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 08 Jul 2013 13:48
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 02:45

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Contributors

Author: James Robards ORCID iD
Thesis advisor: Andrew Hinde ORCID iD

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