Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe


Schröter, D, Cramer, W, Leemans, R, Prentice, I. C, Araújo, M. B., Arnell, N.W, Bondeau, A, Bugmann, H, Carter, T. R., Gracia, C. A., de la Vega-Leinert, A. C., Erhard, M., Ewert, F., Glendining, M., House, J. I., Kankaanpää, S., Klein, R. J.T., Lavorel, S., Lindner, Ma., Metzger, M. J., Meyer, J., Mitchell, T. D., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., Sabaté, S., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, J., Smith, P., Sykes, M. T., Thonicke, K., Thuiller, W., Tuck, G., Zaehle, S. and Zierl, B. (2005) Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe. Science, 310, (5752), 1333-1337. (doi:10.1126/science.1115233).

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Original Publication URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1115233

Description/Abstract

Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, "surplus land" for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water availability, increasing risk of forest fires), especially in the Mediterranean and mountain regions.

Item Type: Article
ISSNs: 0036-8075 (print)
Related URLs:
Keywords: ecosystem service supply, climate change, land-use change
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > G Geography (General)
G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GB Physical geography
Divisions: University Structure - Pre August 2011 > School of Geography > Environmental Processes and Change
ePrint ID: 37704
Date Deposited: 25 May 2006
Last Modified: 27 Mar 2014 18:23
Contact Email Address: n.w.arnell@soton.ac.uk
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/37704

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