The University of Southampton
University of Southampton Institutional Repository

Mapping global environmental suitability for Zika virus

Mapping global environmental suitability for Zika virus
Mapping global environmental suitability for Zika virus
Zika virus was discovered in Uganda in 1947 and is transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, which also act as vectors for dengue and chikungunya viruses throughout much of the tropical world. In 2007, an outbreak in the Federated States of Micronesia sparked public health concern. In 2013, the virus began to spread across other parts of Oceania and in 2015, a large outbreak in Latin America began in Brazil. Possible associations with microcephaly and Guillain-Barré syndrome observed in this outbreak have raised concerns about continued global spread of Zika virus, prompting its declaration as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the World Health Organization. We conducted species distribution modelling to map environmental suitability for Zika. We show a large portion of tropical and sub-tropical regions globally have suitable environmental conditions with over 2.17 billion people inhabiting these areas.
2050-084X
1-22
Messina, Jane P.
d7056ef3-752d-48df-8907-2161e498b47c
Kraemer, Moritz U.G.
5d2b1994-4d71-4eb8-93dd-d948ba164fa2
Brady, Oliver J.
2acbd374-26d3-4e56-9e19-558eef1d4f9b
Pigott, David M.
f2e004f2-dc51-427b-a460-8d0ad9895514
Shearer, Freya M.
a6d15146-416f-43db-8576-cc350f31a251
Weiss, Daniel J.
a5b8e0dc-a451-496d-ad27-35944684cdcf
Golding, Nick
bc8ee56b-8c7f-4186-a75b-afa0c6aec210
Ruktanonchai, Corrine W.
a576fb11-a475-4d48-885a-85938b60a7a8
Gething, Peter W.
6afb7d8c-8816-4c03-ae73-55951c8b197f
Cohn, Emily
b637d9df-a41a-4659-886c-d36ffae19705
Brownstein, John S.
eafaa4d0-0c88-42a5-8bf0-ee164671ee34
Khan, Kamran
f55abc91-5af0-4175-a845-90e88ab2e45a
Tatem, Andrew J.
6c6de104-a5f9-46e0-bb93-a1a7c980513e
Jaenisch, Thomas
0c71a37d-38b6-4d1a-9246-17f1aa5ff9c8
Murray, Christopher J.L.
5c6809c5-1944-40b2-aae8-c81e012db12c
Marinho, Fatima
4c5bd7a9-cb03-4d53-8ec5-511567d403d5
Scott, Thomas W.
86c71ead-d024-44a5-8cc7-ac6544c2e6d2
Hay, Simon I.
471d3ae4-a3c1-4d29-93e3-a90d44471b00
Messina, Jane P.
d7056ef3-752d-48df-8907-2161e498b47c
Kraemer, Moritz U.G.
5d2b1994-4d71-4eb8-93dd-d948ba164fa2
Brady, Oliver J.
2acbd374-26d3-4e56-9e19-558eef1d4f9b
Pigott, David M.
f2e004f2-dc51-427b-a460-8d0ad9895514
Shearer, Freya M.
a6d15146-416f-43db-8576-cc350f31a251
Weiss, Daniel J.
a5b8e0dc-a451-496d-ad27-35944684cdcf
Golding, Nick
bc8ee56b-8c7f-4186-a75b-afa0c6aec210
Ruktanonchai, Corrine W.
a576fb11-a475-4d48-885a-85938b60a7a8
Gething, Peter W.
6afb7d8c-8816-4c03-ae73-55951c8b197f
Cohn, Emily
b637d9df-a41a-4659-886c-d36ffae19705
Brownstein, John S.
eafaa4d0-0c88-42a5-8bf0-ee164671ee34
Khan, Kamran
f55abc91-5af0-4175-a845-90e88ab2e45a
Tatem, Andrew J.
6c6de104-a5f9-46e0-bb93-a1a7c980513e
Jaenisch, Thomas
0c71a37d-38b6-4d1a-9246-17f1aa5ff9c8
Murray, Christopher J.L.
5c6809c5-1944-40b2-aae8-c81e012db12c
Marinho, Fatima
4c5bd7a9-cb03-4d53-8ec5-511567d403d5
Scott, Thomas W.
86c71ead-d024-44a5-8cc7-ac6544c2e6d2
Hay, Simon I.
471d3ae4-a3c1-4d29-93e3-a90d44471b00

Messina, Jane P., Kraemer, Moritz U.G., Brady, Oliver J., Pigott, David M., Shearer, Freya M., Weiss, Daniel J., Golding, Nick, Ruktanonchai, Corrine W., Gething, Peter W., Cohn, Emily, Brownstein, John S., Khan, Kamran, Tatem, Andrew J., Jaenisch, Thomas, Murray, Christopher J.L., Marinho, Fatima, Scott, Thomas W. and Hay, Simon I. (2016) Mapping global environmental suitability for Zika virus. eLife, 5, 1-22. (doi:10.7554/eLife.15272). (PMID:27090089)

Record type: Article

Abstract

Zika virus was discovered in Uganda in 1947 and is transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, which also act as vectors for dengue and chikungunya viruses throughout much of the tropical world. In 2007, an outbreak in the Federated States of Micronesia sparked public health concern. In 2013, the virus began to spread across other parts of Oceania and in 2015, a large outbreak in Latin America began in Brazil. Possible associations with microcephaly and Guillain-Barré syndrome observed in this outbreak have raised concerns about continued global spread of Zika virus, prompting its declaration as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the World Health Organization. We conducted species distribution modelling to map environmental suitability for Zika. We show a large portion of tropical and sub-tropical regions globally have suitable environmental conditions with over 2.17 billion people inhabiting these areas.

Text
elife-15272-v1.pdf - Accepted Manuscript
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.
Download (9MB)

More information

Accepted/In Press date: 10 April 2016
e-pub ahead of print date: 19 April 2016
Published date: 19 April 2016
Organisations: Global Env Change & Earth Observation, WorldPop, Population, Health & Wellbeing (PHeW)

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 393105
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/393105
ISSN: 2050-084X
PURE UUID: babb48fa-8c36-4c8e-8fc7-6539a145eca4
ORCID for Andrew J. Tatem: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-7270-941X

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 21 Apr 2016 08:34
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 03:43

Export record

Altmetrics

Contributors

Author: Jane P. Messina
Author: Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Author: Oliver J. Brady
Author: David M. Pigott
Author: Freya M. Shearer
Author: Daniel J. Weiss
Author: Nick Golding
Author: Corrine W. Ruktanonchai
Author: Peter W. Gething
Author: Emily Cohn
Author: John S. Brownstein
Author: Kamran Khan
Author: Andrew J. Tatem ORCID iD
Author: Thomas Jaenisch
Author: Christopher J.L. Murray
Author: Fatima Marinho
Author: Thomas W. Scott
Author: Simon I. Hay

Download statistics

Downloads from ePrints over the past year. Other digital versions may also be available to download e.g. from the publisher's website.

View more statistics

Atom RSS 1.0 RSS 2.0

Contact ePrints Soton: eprints@soton.ac.uk

ePrints Soton supports OAI 2.0 with a base URL of http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/cgi/oai2

This repository has been built using EPrints software, developed at the University of Southampton, but available to everyone to use.

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we will assume that you are happy to receive cookies on the University of Southampton website.

×