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Replacement migration revisited: simulations of the effects of selected population and labor market strategies for the ageing Europe, 2002–2052

Record type: Article

This paper contains the selected results of research concerning the impact of international migration on population dynamics and labor force resources in 27 European countries over the 2002–2052 period. The study presents a set of simulations prepared under various assumptions on target population size and selected proxy indicators of population and labor force structures. The concept of “replacement migration’’ is used to illustrate the magnitude of the expected deficit and structural imbalance of the population and labor force in the first half of the 21st century. The results are the basis for making general recommendations for future population, migration, and labor market policy strategies in Europe, taking into account the long-term plausibility of the proposed solutions. It is argued that only a combination of policies aimed at increasing fertility and labor force participation, together with reasonable-level immigration, can help meet socioeconomic challenges posed by population aging.

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Citation

Bijak, Jakub, Kupiszewska, Dorota and Kupiszewski, Marek (2008) Replacement migration revisited: simulations of the effects of selected population and labor market strategies for the ageing Europe, 2002–2052 Population Research and Policy Review, 27, (3), pp. 321-342. (doi:10.1007/s11113-007-9065-2). (PMID:18824693).

More information

e-pub ahead of print date: 9 February 2008
Published date: June 2008
Keywords: europe, population aging, population policies, replacement migration, simulations
Organisations: Social Statistics

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 150773
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/150773
ISSN: 0167-5923
PURE UUID: 8bd9b678-e04c-4712-a325-1bb21fef9ec6
ORCID for Jakub Bijak: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-2563-5040

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 06 May 2010 13:08
Last modified: 18 Jul 2017 12:56

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Contributors

Author: Jakub Bijak ORCID iD
Author: Dorota Kupiszewska
Author: Marek Kupiszewski

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