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Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994

Record type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)

The relationships between real wages, output per capita, inflation and unemployment in Italy between 1970 and 1994, are modelled using a cointegrated vector autoregression. There is evidence of a change in the underlying equilibria and in the dynamic evolution of the variables, probably associated with the substantial changes in many sectors of the Italian economy after 1979. Alternative ways to model structural change in the Italian labour market are considered. In adopting a split sample approach the results favour an hysteresis interpretation of unemployment.

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Citation

Marcellino, M. and Mizon, G.E. (2001) Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 , Southampton, GB University of Southampton (Discussion Papers in Economics and Econometrics, 106).

More information

Published date: January 2001

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 167735
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/167735
PURE UUID: 45c111fc-5ebb-4597-a941-d6e5cc7fffc0

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Date deposited: 17 Nov 2010 11:39
Last modified: 18 Jul 2017 12:23

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Contributors

Author: M. Marcellino
Author: G.E. Mizon

University divisions


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