Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy
Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy
A multiplicative component model is applied in this paper to present a simple, yet powerful, framework for analyzing and projecting internal migration flows. The multiplicative components are useful for identifying important underlying structures in the migration patterns. To demonstrate, seven periods of age-specific interregional migration in Italy (1970-1971 to 2000-2001) are analyzed. This information is then used to project the age and spatial structures forward to the 2010-2011 period. The projection model focuses on the underlying structures, which allows both the stable and changing aspects of the migration patterns to be included.
internal migration, migration analysis, migration estimation, migration projection, Italy, categorical data analysis
Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, University of Southampton
Raymer, James
ed2973c1-b78d-4166-baf3-4e18f1b24070
Bonaguidi, Alberto
09397d71-2dcd-4367-ae97-02737482c463
Valentini, Alessandro
a914ff4b-bf34-493e-a7f2-e25f56be1b06
12 September 2005
Raymer, James
ed2973c1-b78d-4166-baf3-4e18f1b24070
Bonaguidi, Alberto
09397d71-2dcd-4367-ae97-02737482c463
Valentini, Alessandro
a914ff4b-bf34-493e-a7f2-e25f56be1b06
Raymer, James, Bonaguidi, Alberto and Valentini, Alessandro
(2005)
Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy
(S3RI Applications and Policy Working Papers, A05/06)
Southampton, UK.
Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, University of Southampton
43pp.
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Monograph
(Working Paper)
Abstract
A multiplicative component model is applied in this paper to present a simple, yet powerful, framework for analyzing and projecting internal migration flows. The multiplicative components are useful for identifying important underlying structures in the migration patterns. To demonstrate, seven periods of age-specific interregional migration in Italy (1970-1971 to 2000-2001) are analyzed. This information is then used to project the age and spatial structures forward to the 2010-2011 period. The projection model focuses on the underlying structures, which allows both the stable and changing aspects of the migration patterns to be included.
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Published date: 12 September 2005
Keywords:
internal migration, migration analysis, migration estimation, migration projection, Italy, categorical data analysis
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Local EPrints ID: 17418
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/17418
PURE UUID: b9d4f85b-0aa9-445d-8024-7541f6684246
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Date deposited: 12 Sep 2005
Last modified: 20 Feb 2024 03:20
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Contributors
Author:
James Raymer
Author:
Alberto Bonaguidi
Author:
Alessandro Valentini
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