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An accumulation of international reserves and external debt: Evidence from developing countries

An accumulation of international reserves and external debt: Evidence from developing countries
An accumulation of international reserves and external debt: Evidence from developing countries
The main analytical contribution of this paper is to analyze the cost of the decision to jointly hold reserves and sovereign debt. By analyzing the impact of holding reserves and sovereign debt on sovereign credit ratings will provide the evidence of the costs of holding reserves and debt with respect to credit risk. It is found that the positive effect of accumulation reserves that aims to improve sovereign ratings has been crowding-out by the negative effect of accumulation external debt which resulted in a net negative effect. As such, it is suggested that countries reduce their sovereign debt in order to maintain a good credit risk position while holds international reserves at the optimal level of 3.67 in a month of imports which is slightly higher than the conventional rule.
international reserves, external debt, developing economies, credit risk
1226-508X
229-249
Mohd Daud, Siti Nurazira
f58a5752-756d-4e60-ba8e-2419597aa418
Podivinsky, Jan M.
68b5a6e8-9d09-4a3e-97b2-4a9e4f1efbb9
Mohd Daud, Siti Nurazira
f58a5752-756d-4e60-ba8e-2419597aa418
Podivinsky, Jan M.
68b5a6e8-9d09-4a3e-97b2-4a9e4f1efbb9

Mohd Daud, Siti Nurazira and Podivinsky, Jan M. (2011) An accumulation of international reserves and external debt: Evidence from developing countries. Global Economic Review, 40 (3), 229-249. (doi:10.1080/1226508X.2011.601626).

Record type: Article

Abstract

The main analytical contribution of this paper is to analyze the cost of the decision to jointly hold reserves and sovereign debt. By analyzing the impact of holding reserves and sovereign debt on sovereign credit ratings will provide the evidence of the costs of holding reserves and debt with respect to credit risk. It is found that the positive effect of accumulation reserves that aims to improve sovereign ratings has been crowding-out by the negative effect of accumulation external debt which resulted in a net negative effect. As such, it is suggested that countries reduce their sovereign debt in order to maintain a good credit risk position while holds international reserves at the optimal level of 3.67 in a month of imports which is slightly higher than the conventional rule.

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More information

Published date: 9 September 2011
Keywords: international reserves, external debt, developing economies, credit risk
Organisations: Economics

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 197495
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/197495
ISSN: 1226-508X
PURE UUID: 06e0e5a3-2b03-42c2-9850-b1684ba727d3
ORCID for Jan M. Podivinsky: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-4921-1189

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Date deposited: 23 Sep 2011 13:53
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 02:34

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Author: Siti Nurazira Mohd Daud

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