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Abrupt climate change

Record type: Article

Large, abrupt, and widespread climate changes with major impacts have occurred repeatedly in the past, when the Earth system was forced across thresholds. Although abrupt climate changes can occur for many reasons, it is conceivable that human forcing of climate change is increasing the probability of large, abrupt events. Were such an event to recur, the economic and ecological impacts could be large and potentially serious. Unpredictability exhibited near climate thresholds in simple models shows that some uncertainty will always be associated with projections. In light of these uncertainties, policy-makers should consider expanding research into abrupt climate change, improving monitoring systems, and taking actions designed to enhance the adaptability and resilience of ecosystems and economies.

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Citation

Alley, R.B. and Marotze, J. (2003) Abrupt climate change Science, 299, (5615), pp. 2005-2010. (doi:10.1126/science.1081056).

More information

Published date: 2003
Keywords: CLIMATIC CHANGES, PALAEOCLIMATE, METEOROLOGY

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 2004
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/2004
ISSN: 0036-8075
PURE UUID: 3ceb95a5-d873-446e-81d0-4b2f538a2857

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 07 May 2004
Last modified: 17 Jul 2017 17:16

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Contributors

Author: R.B. Alley
Author: J. Marotze

University divisions


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