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Public confidence in the police: a time-series analysis

Public confidence in the police: a time-series analysis
Public confidence in the police: a time-series analysis
Empirical analyses of the causes of public confidence in policing have been based almost entirely on cross-sectional survey data, with a consequent focus on between-group differences in levels of confidence at a single point in time. Our aim here is to introduce a time dimension to this area of investigation. Employing repeated cross-sectional survey data from the British Crime Survey, we apply time-series regression methods to show how confidence in policing changes over time for the aggregate population. Counter to cross-sectional findings, time series analyses reveal that confidence in the police is not related to aggregate worry about crime and perceptions of social cohesion, nor informal social control, but only to perceptions of crime and the property crime rate.
confidence in policing, time-series regression analysis, british crime survey
0007-0955
744-764
Sindall, K.
57703b0e-085d-40a4-ad10-2a9f6e99f23b
Sturgis, P.
b9f6b40c-50d2-4117-805a-577b501d0b3c
Jennings, W.
2ab3f11c-eb7f-44c6-9ef2-3180c1a954f7
Sindall, K.
57703b0e-085d-40a4-ad10-2a9f6e99f23b
Sturgis, P.
b9f6b40c-50d2-4117-805a-577b501d0b3c
Jennings, W.
2ab3f11c-eb7f-44c6-9ef2-3180c1a954f7

Sindall, K., Sturgis, P. and Jennings, W. (2012) Public confidence in the police: a time-series analysis. British Journal of Criminology, 52 (4), 744-764. (doi:10.1093/bjc/azs010).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Empirical analyses of the causes of public confidence in policing have been based almost entirely on cross-sectional survey data, with a consequent focus on between-group differences in levels of confidence at a single point in time. Our aim here is to introduce a time dimension to this area of investigation. Employing repeated cross-sectional survey data from the British Crime Survey, we apply time-series regression methods to show how confidence in policing changes over time for the aggregate population. Counter to cross-sectional findings, time series analyses reveal that confidence in the police is not related to aggregate worry about crime and perceptions of social cohesion, nor informal social control, but only to perceptions of crime and the property crime rate.

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More information

e-pub ahead of print date: 30 May 2012
Published date: July 2012
Keywords: confidence in policing, time-series regression analysis, british crime survey
Organisations: Social Statistics & Demography

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 209601
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/209601
ISSN: 0007-0955
PURE UUID: 9fc0d360-9333-4a61-a988-a7b0d402ba39
ORCID for K. Sindall: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-1174-5396
ORCID for P. Sturgis: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-1180-3493
ORCID for W. Jennings: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0001-9007-8896

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 31 Jan 2012 12:15
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 03:42

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Contributors

Author: K. Sindall ORCID iD
Author: P. Sturgis ORCID iD
Author: W. Jennings ORCID iD

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