The relationship between BNP and risk assessment in cardiac rehabilitation

Bethell, Hugh J.N., Glover, Jason D., Evans, Julia A., Turner, Sally C., Mehta, Raj L. and Mullee, Mark A. (2008) The relationship between BNP and risk assessment in cardiac rehabilitation. British Journal of Cardiology, 15 (3), 161-165.

Abstract

Risk stratification is important in the assessment of cardiac patients enrolled in physical training programmes but is often based on inadequate information. Measuring blood B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level, a marker of left ventricular dysfunction, might improve risk assessment. In an observational study blood BNP levels were measured in 100 consecutive patients joining a cardiac rehabilitation programme following acute myocardial infarction. The results were compared with the clinical risk assessment – high, moderate or low. There was a significant correlation between risk category (high, moderate or low) and BNP level (r=0.41, p=0.001). A BNP level of 100 pg/L or more gave a sensitivity of 89% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.69, 0.97) and a specificity of 61% (95% CI 0.57, 0.63) for predicting high-risk patients with a positive predictive value of 33% (95% CI 0.26, 0.36) and a negative predictive value of 96% (95% CI 0.89, 0.99). A BNP level of less than 100 pg/ml gave a sensitivity of 78% (95% CI 0.55, 0.91) and a specificity of 54% (95% CI 0.43, 0.64) for predicting low-risk patients with a positive predictive value of 27% (95% CI 0.17, 0.40) and a negative predictive value of 92% (95% CI 0.80, 0.97). In conclusion, BNP levels provide information that may improve the accuracy of risk assessment of cardiac rehabilitation patients particularly when other information is limited.

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