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A Multi-criteria Assessment of Deflection Methods for Dangerous NEOs

A Multi-criteria Assessment of Deflection Methods for Dangerous NEOs
A Multi-criteria Assessment of Deflection Methods for Dangerous NEOs
Over the last few years, the possible scenario of an asteroid threatening to impact the Earth has stimulated an intense debate among the scientific community about possible deviation methods. In this paper we present a comparative assessment of some of the more feasible mitigation schemes reviewed in the literature (i.e. solar collector, nuclear blast, kinetic impactor, low?thrust propulsion and mass driver). For each strategy, a multi-criteria optimization method has been used to construct a set of Pareto optimal solutions, minimizing both the mass of the spacecraft and the warning time, while simultaneously maximizing the deviation. A dominance criterion has then been defined and used to compare all the Pareto sets. The achievable deviation at the MOID, either for a low-thrust or for an impulsive maneuver, has been computed through a set of analytical formulas. The variation in the orbit of the NEO has been estimated through a deviation action model that takes into account the wet mass of the spacecraft on the Earth. Finally the technology readiness level of each strategy has been used to recompute a more realistic value for the required warning time.
978-0735403895
317-336
American Institute of Physics
Sanchez Cuartielles, Joan Pau
c5a2cd57-cd47-429b-ae41-f4dc6facca2b
Colombo, Camilla
595ced96-9494-40f2-9763-ad4a0f96bc86
Vasile, Massimiliano
de6550cb-82fc-49eb-b90b-dffa9787bf7d
Radice, Gianmarco
c9e2bab8-e37d-4bbd-8c00-4991856e0d2a
Belbruno, Edward
Sanchez Cuartielles, Joan Pau
c5a2cd57-cd47-429b-ae41-f4dc6facca2b
Colombo, Camilla
595ced96-9494-40f2-9763-ad4a0f96bc86
Vasile, Massimiliano
de6550cb-82fc-49eb-b90b-dffa9787bf7d
Radice, Gianmarco
c9e2bab8-e37d-4bbd-8c00-4991856e0d2a
Belbruno, Edward

Sanchez Cuartielles, Joan Pau, Colombo, Camilla, Vasile, Massimiliano and Radice, Gianmarco (2007) A Multi-criteria Assessment of Deflection Methods for Dangerous NEOs. In, Belbruno, Edward (ed.) New Trends in Astrodynamics and Applications III. (AIP Conference Proceedings, 886) College Park, US. American Institute of Physics, pp. 317-336. (doi:10.1063/1.2710065).

Record type: Book Section

Abstract

Over the last few years, the possible scenario of an asteroid threatening to impact the Earth has stimulated an intense debate among the scientific community about possible deviation methods. In this paper we present a comparative assessment of some of the more feasible mitigation schemes reviewed in the literature (i.e. solar collector, nuclear blast, kinetic impactor, low?thrust propulsion and mass driver). For each strategy, a multi-criteria optimization method has been used to construct a set of Pareto optimal solutions, minimizing both the mass of the spacecraft and the warning time, while simultaneously maximizing the deviation. A dominance criterion has then been defined and used to compare all the Pareto sets. The achievable deviation at the MOID, either for a low-thrust or for an impulsive maneuver, has been computed through a set of analytical formulas. The variation in the orbit of the NEO has been estimated through a deviation action model that takes into account the wet mass of the spacecraft on the Earth. Finally the technology readiness level of each strategy has been used to recompute a more realistic value for the required warning time.

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Published date: 2007
Organisations: Astronautics Group

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 342357
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/342357
ISBN: 978-0735403895
PURE UUID: fc5ad10d-ef92-47eb-b1e7-4be0f0a240fb
ORCID for Camilla Colombo: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0001-9636-9360

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Date deposited: 06 Sep 2012 13:40
Last modified: 14 Mar 2024 11:50

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Contributors

Author: Joan Pau Sanchez Cuartielles
Author: Camilla Colombo ORCID iD
Author: Massimiliano Vasile
Author: Gianmarco Radice
Editor: Edward Belbruno

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