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Phylodynamics and human-mediated dispersal of a zoonotic virus

Talbi, C., Lemey, P., Suchard, M.A., Abdelatif, E., Elharrak, M., Nourlil, J., Faouzi, A., Echevarria, J.E., Vazquez Moron, S., Rambaut, A., Campiz, N., Tatem, A.J., Holmes, E.C. and Bourhy, H. (2010) Phylodynamics and human-mediated dispersal of a zoonotic virus PLoS Pathogens, 6, (10), e1001166-[10pp]. (doi:10.1371/journal.ppat.1001166).

Record type: Article


Understanding the role of humans in the dispersal of predominantly animal pathogens is essential for their control. We used newly developed Bayesian phylogeographic methods to unravel the dynamics and determinants of the spread of dog rabies virus (RABV) in North Africa. Each of the countries studied exhibited largely disconnected spatial dynamics with major geopolitical boundaries acting as barriers to gene flow. Road distances proved to be better predictors of the movement of dog RABV than accessibility or raw geographical distance, with occasional long distance and rapid spread within each of these countries. Using simulations that bridge phylodynamics and spatial epidemiology, we demonstrate that the contemporary viral distribution extends beyond that expected for RABV transmission in African dog populations. These results are strongly supportive of human-mediated dispersal, and demonstrate how an integrated phylogeographic approach will turn viral genetic data into a powerful asset for characterizing, predicting, and potentially controlling the spatial spread of pathogens.

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Published date: 28 October 2010
Keywords: algeria/epidemiology, animals, computer simulation demography, dogs, evolution, molecular gene flow, genetics, physiology, geography, humans, morocco, epidemiology, phylogeny, rabies virus, physiologytunisia, zoonoses, transmission, virology
Organisations: Geography & Environment, PHEW – P (Population Health)


Local EPrints ID: 344451
ISSN: 1553-7366
PURE UUID: d3713348-f908-4539-8d21-d99c52025755
ORCID for A.J. Tatem: ORCID iD

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Date deposited: 05 Nov 2012 10:02
Last modified: 18 Jul 2017 05:16

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Author: C. Talbi
Author: P. Lemey
Author: M.A. Suchard
Author: E. Abdelatif
Author: M. Elharrak
Author: J. Nourlil
Author: A. Faouzi
Author: J.E. Echevarria
Author: S. Vazquez Moron
Author: A. Rambaut
Author: N. Campiz
Author: A.J. Tatem ORCID iD
Author: E.C. Holmes
Author: H. Bourhy

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