The University of Southampton
University of Southampton Institutional Repository

The worldwide airline network and the dispersal of exotic species: 2007-2010

Tatem, Andrew J. (2009) The worldwide airline network and the dispersal of exotic species: 2007-2010 Ecography, 32, (1), pp. 94-102. (doi:10.1111/j.1600-0587.2008.05588.x). (PMID:20300170).

Record type: Article

Abstract

International air travel has played a significant role in driving recent increases in the rates of biological invasion and spread of infectious diseases. By providing high speed, busy transport links between spatially distant, but climatically similar regions of the world, the worldwide airline network (WAN) increases the risks of deliberate or accidental movements and establishment of climatically sensitive exotic organisms. With traffic levels continuing to rise and climates changing regionally, these risks will vary, both seasonally and year-by-year. Here, detailed estimates of air traffic trends and climate changes for the period 2007-2010 are used to examine the likely directions and magnitudes of changes in climatically sensitive organism invasion risk across the WAN. Analysis of over 144 million flights from 2007-2010 shows that by 2010, the WAN is likely to change little overall in terms of connecting regions with similar climates, but anticipated increases in traffic and local variations in climatic changes should increase the risks of exotic species movement on the WAN and establishment in new areas. These overall shifts mask spatially and temporally heterogenous changes across the WAN, where, for example, traffic increases and climatic convergence by July 2010 between parts of China and northern Europe and North America raise the likelihood of exotic species invasions, whereas anticipated climatic shifts may actually reduce invasion risks into much of eastern Europe.

Full text not available from this repository.

More information

e-pub ahead of print date: 22 January 2009
Published date: February 2009
Organisations: Geography & Environment, PHEW – S (Spatial analysis and modelling)

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 344453
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/344453
ISSN: 0906-7590
PURE UUID: c2ff5625-7362-4df5-b782-d849f623d910
ORCID for Andrew J. Tatem: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-7270-941X

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 25 Oct 2012 08:50
Last modified: 18 Jul 2017 05:16

Export record

Altmetrics

Download statistics

Downloads from ePrints over the past year. Other digital versions may also be available to download e.g. from the publisher's website.

View more statistics

Atom RSS 1.0 RSS 2.0

Contact ePrints Soton: eprints@soton.ac.uk

ePrints Soton supports OAI 2.0 with a base URL of http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/cgi/oai2

This repository has been built using EPrints software, developed at the University of Southampton, but available to everyone to use.

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we will assume that you are happy to receive cookies on the University of Southampton website.

×