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An aggregate data analysis of turnout and party voting in local elections

An aggregate data analysis of turnout and party voting in local elections
An aggregate data analysis of turnout and party voting in local elections
Much has been written about individual voting behaviour in Britain and the United States but relatively little work has been done with aggregate data in the study of total electoral situations. A partial correlation and multiple regression analysis of local elections in a large English city shows that class, housing tenure, age, and coloured immigrants are closely related to voting patterns of total electorates, but geographical mobility and density of hoeing occupation are not. The political variables of marginality, size of majority, and number of candidates are not noticeably related to either turnout or party voting, although the presence of a Liberal candidate does increase turnout in some circumstances. Housing tenure has a particularly strong and complex relationship with voting patterns which suggests that the concept of housing class may be useful in the analysis of voting as well as more general social patterns. There is no persistent pattern of support for the Liberals who gain or lose votes according to the popularity of the two main parties.
0038-0385
213-231
Davies, Paul
943293b7-1071-400a-b986-085698934b11
Newton, Kenneth
17e0a529-235b-4960-824d-268f31e63d61
Davies, Paul
943293b7-1071-400a-b986-085698934b11
Newton, Kenneth
17e0a529-235b-4960-824d-268f31e63d61

Davies, Paul and Newton, Kenneth (1974) An aggregate data analysis of turnout and party voting in local elections. Sociology, 8 (2), 213-231. (doi:10.1177/003803857400800202).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Much has been written about individual voting behaviour in Britain and the United States but relatively little work has been done with aggregate data in the study of total electoral situations. A partial correlation and multiple regression analysis of local elections in a large English city shows that class, housing tenure, age, and coloured immigrants are closely related to voting patterns of total electorates, but geographical mobility and density of hoeing occupation are not. The political variables of marginality, size of majority, and number of candidates are not noticeably related to either turnout or party voting, although the presence of a Liberal candidate does increase turnout in some circumstances. Housing tenure has a particularly strong and complex relationship with voting patterns which suggests that the concept of housing class may be useful in the analysis of voting as well as more general social patterns. There is no persistent pattern of support for the Liberals who gain or lose votes according to the popularity of the two main parties.

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Published date: May 1974

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 34449
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/34449
ISSN: 0038-0385
PURE UUID: b46cfe4a-7c49-4486-b48d-100ff3e06dea

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Date deposited: 16 Jan 2008
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 07:47

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Author: Paul Davies
Author: Kenneth Newton

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