Linked lives: the utility of an agent-based approach to modelling partnership and household formation in the context of social care
Linked lives: the utility of an agent-based approach to modelling partnership and household formation in the context of social care
The UK’s population is aging, which presents a challenge as older people are the primary users of health and social care services. We present an agent-based model of the basic demographic processes that impinge on the supply of, and demand for, social care: namely mortality, fertility, health-status transitions, internal migration, and the formation and dissolution of partnerships and households. Agent-based modeling is used to capture the idea of “linked lives” and thus to represent hypotheses that are impossible to express in alternative formalisms. Simulation runs suggest that the per-taxpayer cost of state-funded social care could double over the next forty years. A key benefit of the approach is that we can treat the average cost of state-funded care as an outcome variable, and examine the projected effect of different sets of assumptions about the relevant social processes.
9781467347792
Noble, Jason
440f07ba-dbb8-4d66-b969-36cde4e3b764
Silverman, Eric
641120a2-6584-46a6-a33b-4ea9133463af
Bijak, Jakub
e33bf9d3-fca6-405f-844c-4b2decf93c66
Rossiter, Stuart
12009d36-8dde-4875-a49e-fab01b3604f2
Evandrou, Maria
cd2210ea-9625-44d7-b0f4-fc0721a25d28
Bullock, Seth
2ad576e4-56b8-4f31-84e0-51bd0b7a1cd3
Vlachantoni, Athina
06a52fbb-f2a0-4c81-9fbc-d6efc736c6cb
Falkingham, Jane
8df36615-1547-4a6d-ad55-aa9496e85519
2012
Noble, Jason
440f07ba-dbb8-4d66-b969-36cde4e3b764
Silverman, Eric
641120a2-6584-46a6-a33b-4ea9133463af
Bijak, Jakub
e33bf9d3-fca6-405f-844c-4b2decf93c66
Rossiter, Stuart
12009d36-8dde-4875-a49e-fab01b3604f2
Evandrou, Maria
cd2210ea-9625-44d7-b0f4-fc0721a25d28
Bullock, Seth
2ad576e4-56b8-4f31-84e0-51bd0b7a1cd3
Vlachantoni, Athina
06a52fbb-f2a0-4c81-9fbc-d6efc736c6cb
Falkingham, Jane
8df36615-1547-4a6d-ad55-aa9496e85519
Noble, Jason, Silverman, Eric, Bijak, Jakub, Rossiter, Stuart, Evandrou, Maria, Bullock, Seth, Vlachantoni, Athina and Falkingham, Jane
(2012)
Linked lives: the utility of an agent-based approach to modelling partnership and household formation in the context of social care.
In Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference 2012 (WSC2012).
IEEE..
Record type:
Conference or Workshop Item
(Paper)
Abstract
The UK’s population is aging, which presents a challenge as older people are the primary users of health and social care services. We present an agent-based model of the basic demographic processes that impinge on the supply of, and demand for, social care: namely mortality, fertility, health-status transitions, internal migration, and the formation and dissolution of partnerships and households. Agent-based modeling is used to capture the idea of “linked lives” and thus to represent hypotheses that are impossible to express in alternative formalisms. Simulation runs suggest that the per-taxpayer cost of state-funded social care could double over the next forty years. A key benefit of the approach is that we can treat the average cost of state-funded care as an outcome variable, and examine the projected effect of different sets of assumptions about the relevant social processes.
Text
inv207.pdf
- Version of Record
More information
Published date: 2012
Venue - Dates:
conference; de; 2011-01-01, Berlin, Germany, 2012-01-01
Organisations:
Social Statistics & Demography, Agents, Interactions & Complexity, Gerontology
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 347332
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/347332
ISBN: 9781467347792
PURE UUID: 48518952-946b-41c1-82d2-b47b9d83a1bb
Catalogue record
Date deposited: 21 Jan 2013 16:20
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 03:34
Export record
Contributors
Author:
Jason Noble
Author:
Eric Silverman
Author:
Stuart Rossiter
Download statistics
Downloads from ePrints over the past year. Other digital versions may also be available to download e.g. from the publisher's website.
View more statistics
