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Developing novel approaches to tracking domestic water demand under uncertainty - A reflection on the "up scaling" of social science approaches in the United Kingdom

Developing novel approaches to tracking domestic water demand under uncertainty - A reflection on the "up scaling" of social science approaches in the United Kingdom
Developing novel approaches to tracking domestic water demand under uncertainty - A reflection on the "up scaling" of social science approaches in the United Kingdom
Climate change, socio-demographic change and changing patterns of ordinary consumption are creating new and unpredictable pressures on urban water resources in the UK. While demand management is currently offered as a first option for managing supply/demand deficit, the uncertainties around demand and its' potential trajectories are problematic. In this paper we review the ways in which particular branches of social science offer a model of 'distributed demand' that helps explain these current and future uncertainties. We also identify a few potential strategies for tracking where the drivers of change for demand may lie. Rather than suggesting an alternative 'demand forecasting' technique we propose alternative methodological approaches that 'stretch out' and 'scale up' measures of demand to inform water resources planning and policy. These proxy measurements could act as 'indictors of change' to water demand at a population level that could then be used to inform research and policy strategies. We conclude by arguing for the need to recognise the co-production of demand futures and supply trajectories.
water demand, socio-technical sytems, climate change UK
0920-4741
1013-1035
Browne, A.
81f76a6f-6615-4d37-b47a-449c9b0caa08
Medd, W.
e17b4ed2-21b9-4f59-b7cc-c93858da6906
Anderson, B.
01e98bbd-b402-48b0-b83e-142341a39b2d
Browne, A.
81f76a6f-6615-4d37-b47a-449c9b0caa08
Medd, W.
e17b4ed2-21b9-4f59-b7cc-c93858da6906
Anderson, B.
01e98bbd-b402-48b0-b83e-142341a39b2d

Browne, A., Medd, W. and Anderson, B. (2013) Developing novel approaches to tracking domestic water demand under uncertainty - A reflection on the "up scaling" of social science approaches in the United Kingdom. [in special issue: Adaptation and Resilience of Water Systems to an Uncertain Changing Climate] Water Resources Management, 27 (4), 1013-1035. (doi:10.1007/s11269-012-0117-y).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Climate change, socio-demographic change and changing patterns of ordinary consumption are creating new and unpredictable pressures on urban water resources in the UK. While demand management is currently offered as a first option for managing supply/demand deficit, the uncertainties around demand and its' potential trajectories are problematic. In this paper we review the ways in which particular branches of social science offer a model of 'distributed demand' that helps explain these current and future uncertainties. We also identify a few potential strategies for tracking where the drivers of change for demand may lie. Rather than suggesting an alternative 'demand forecasting' technique we propose alternative methodological approaches that 'stretch out' and 'scale up' measures of demand to inform water resources planning and policy. These proxy measurements could act as 'indictors of change' to water demand at a population level that could then be used to inform research and policy strategies. We conclude by arguing for the need to recognise the co-production of demand futures and supply trajectories.

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More information

Published date: March 2013
Keywords: water demand, socio-technical sytems, climate change UK
Organisations: Energy & Climate Change Group

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 350351
URI: https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/350351
ISSN: 0920-4741
PURE UUID: c2b3c917-b8e0-4a00-8ad1-65b4e59bc07a
ORCID for B. Anderson: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-2092-4406

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 25 Mar 2013 15:08
Last modified: 06 Jun 2018 12:25

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