Dynamic squeezing: Marriage and fertility in France after World War One
Dynamic squeezing: Marriage and fertility in France after World War One
Unmarried people undoubtedly differ in their preferences for marriage, and such differences are likely to be linked to their preferences for children. We propose a model of people searching for marriage partners in which ageing and fertility propensities determine marriage probabilities. We apply our model to a quantitative analysis of the post-war marriage boom that began in France in 1918. We find that wartime shocks to the marriage market are perpetuated across generations and cause persistent increases in marital birthrates. Heterogeneity in women’s propensity to bear children accounts for most of the increase in marriage relative to trend.
family economics, household formation, marriage, fertility
ESRC Centre for Population Change
Knowles, John
0c41d933-fc6d-4a91-9e0f-0b07e5db84ac
Vandenbroucke, Guillaume
becf8418-a7c5-4cb5-9c77-acef7364b47b
July 2013
Knowles, John
0c41d933-fc6d-4a91-9e0f-0b07e5db84ac
Vandenbroucke, Guillaume
becf8418-a7c5-4cb5-9c77-acef7364b47b
Knowles, John and Vandenbroucke, Guillaume
(2013)
Dynamic squeezing: Marriage and fertility in France after World War One
(ESRC Centre for Population Change Working Paper Series, 36)
Southampton, GB.
ESRC Centre for Population Change
40pp.
Record type:
Monograph
(Working Paper)
Abstract
Unmarried people undoubtedly differ in their preferences for marriage, and such differences are likely to be linked to their preferences for children. We propose a model of people searching for marriage partners in which ageing and fertility propensities determine marriage probabilities. We apply our model to a quantitative analysis of the post-war marriage boom that began in France in 1918. We find that wartime shocks to the marriage market are perpetuated across generations and cause persistent increases in marital birthrates. Heterogeneity in women’s propensity to bear children accounts for most of the increase in marriage relative to trend.
Text
2013_WP36_Dynamic_Squeezing_Marriage_and_Fertility_in_France_after_WW1_Knowles_et_al.pdf
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More information
Published date: July 2013
Keywords:
family economics, household formation, marriage, fertility
Organisations:
Social Statistics & Demography, Centre for Population Change
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 354979
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/354979
ISSN: 2042-4116
PURE UUID: ee186c02-dafe-4df2-9572-4d87a3aa24f9
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Date deposited: 14 Aug 2013 11:44
Last modified: 14 Mar 2024 14:27
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Contributors
Author:
John Knowles
Author:
Guillaume Vandenbroucke
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