Integrating ecosystem services and climate change responses in coastal wetlands development plans for Bangladesh
Integrating ecosystem services and climate change responses in coastal wetlands development plans for Bangladesh
This study explores the integration of ecosystem services and climate change adaptation in development plans for coastal wetlands in Bangladesh. A new response framework for adaptation is proposed, based on an empirical analysis and consultations with stakeholders, using a modified version of the DPSIR (Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response) framework. The framework is tested in the Narail district of Bangladesh, where temperature has increased by about 1 0C in the summer in combination with an increase in rainfall of 0.70 mm day-1 yr-1 in the last decade. Calibrated model (MAGICC/SENGEN) projections forecast, on average, a temperature increase of up to 5 0C and an increase in rainfall of 25% by the end of this century. Water diversion in the upstream regions of the Ganges delta contributes to increase water scarcity in the dry season. Enhanced rainfall and the immense pressure of water discharges from upstream water sources are increasing the risk of floods and river erosion in the dry season. An increase in the water holding capacity of rivers, wetlands and canals by dredging is urgently required. The empirical model of this study is intended to support adaptation planning in Bangladesh and can be used in other data-poor areas which will suffer from climate change.
climate change, ecosystem services, wetlands, livelihood, planning, monitoring, adaptation
241-261
Sarwar Hossain, M.
ba5eb288-0380-4f82-bda6-0a86068f0665
Hein, L.
0953755b-2798-49f8-99f2-10c6e0aa5da9
Rip, F.I.
638c8a4e-68ca-4ebe-bf07-8e569f12d7f6
Dearing, J.A.
dff37300-b8a6-4406-ad84-89aa01de03d7
August 2013
Sarwar Hossain, M.
ba5eb288-0380-4f82-bda6-0a86068f0665
Hein, L.
0953755b-2798-49f8-99f2-10c6e0aa5da9
Rip, F.I.
638c8a4e-68ca-4ebe-bf07-8e569f12d7f6
Dearing, J.A.
dff37300-b8a6-4406-ad84-89aa01de03d7
Sarwar Hossain, M., Hein, L., Rip, F.I. and Dearing, J.A.
(2013)
Integrating ecosystem services and climate change responses in coastal wetlands development plans for Bangladesh.
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 20 (2), .
(doi:10.1007/s11027-013-9489-4).
Abstract
This study explores the integration of ecosystem services and climate change adaptation in development plans for coastal wetlands in Bangladesh. A new response framework for adaptation is proposed, based on an empirical analysis and consultations with stakeholders, using a modified version of the DPSIR (Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response) framework. The framework is tested in the Narail district of Bangladesh, where temperature has increased by about 1 0C in the summer in combination with an increase in rainfall of 0.70 mm day-1 yr-1 in the last decade. Calibrated model (MAGICC/SENGEN) projections forecast, on average, a temperature increase of up to 5 0C and an increase in rainfall of 25% by the end of this century. Water diversion in the upstream regions of the Ganges delta contributes to increase water scarcity in the dry season. Enhanced rainfall and the immense pressure of water discharges from upstream water sources are increasing the risk of floods and river erosion in the dry season. An increase in the water holding capacity of rivers, wetlands and canals by dredging is urgently required. The empirical model of this study is intended to support adaptation planning in Bangladesh and can be used in other data-poor areas which will suffer from climate change.
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Final paper.pdf
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More information
Accepted/In Press date: 4 July 2013
e-pub ahead of print date: 28 August 2013
Published date: August 2013
Keywords:
climate change, ecosystem services, wetlands, livelihood, planning, monitoring, adaptation
Organisations:
Palaeoenvironment Laboratory (PLUS)
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 356448
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/356448
ISSN: 1381-2386
PURE UUID: 369301e0-a1eb-4cf6-9764-565aef591fba
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Date deposited: 30 Sep 2013 14:16
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 03:19
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Contributors
Author:
M. Sarwar Hossain
Author:
L. Hein
Author:
F.I. Rip
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