A survey of credit and behavioural scoring: forecasting financial risk of lending to consumers
A survey of credit and behavioural scoring: forecasting financial risk of lending to consumers
Credit scoring and behavioural scoring are the techniques that help organisations decide whether or not to grant credit to consumers who apply to them. This article surveys the techniques used — both statistical and operational research based — to support these decisions.
It also discusses the need to incorporate economic conditions into the scoring systems and the way the systems could change from estimating the probability of a consumer defaulting to estimating the profit a consumer will bring to the lending organisation — two of the major developments being attempted in the area. It points out how successful has been this under-researched area of forecasting financial risk.
finance, discriminant analysis, classification, economic forecasting, profit scoring
149-172
Thomas, Lyn C.
a3ce3068-328b-4bce-889f-965b0b9d2362
2000
Thomas, Lyn C.
a3ce3068-328b-4bce-889f-965b0b9d2362
Thomas, Lyn C.
(2000)
A survey of credit and behavioural scoring: forecasting financial risk of lending to consumers.
International Journal of Forecasting, 16 (2), .
(doi:10.1016/S0169-2070(00)00034-0).
Abstract
Credit scoring and behavioural scoring are the techniques that help organisations decide whether or not to grant credit to consumers who apply to them. This article surveys the techniques used — both statistical and operational research based — to support these decisions.
It also discusses the need to incorporate economic conditions into the scoring systems and the way the systems could change from estimating the probability of a consumer defaulting to estimating the profit a consumer will bring to the lending organisation — two of the major developments being attempted in the area. It points out how successful has been this under-researched area of forecasting financial risk.
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Published date: 2000
Keywords:
finance, discriminant analysis, classification, economic forecasting, profit scoring
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Local EPrints ID: 35665
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/35665
ISSN: 0169-2070
PURE UUID: 4a2acb53-75a5-4439-83e6-0b354143d006
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Date deposited: 26 Jun 2006
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 07:53
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Author:
Lyn C. Thomas
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