An assessment of the quality of subjective probability judgements in a naturalistic setting
An assessment of the quality of subjective probability judgements in a naturalistic setting
The objective of this paper is to explore the extent to which human judgement and resultant decision-making in a natural setting reflects the performance characteristics suggested by experimental work. in order to explore the quality of decisions made in a natural setting, an analysis is undertaken of bets placed on 19 396 horses in the UK parimutuel betting market.
University of Southampton
Johnson, J.E.V.
6d9f1a51-38a8-4011-a792-bfc82040fac4
Bruce, A.C.
6a4ed45f-ba2b-4274-8e94-bd3d3b4f8da9
1999
Johnson, J.E.V.
6d9f1a51-38a8-4011-a792-bfc82040fac4
Bruce, A.C.
6a4ed45f-ba2b-4274-8e94-bd3d3b4f8da9
Johnson, J.E.V. and Bruce, A.C.
(1999)
An assessment of the quality of subjective probability judgements in a naturalistic setting
(Discussion Papers in Accounting and Management Science, 99-146)
Southampton, UK.
University of Southampton
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Monograph
(Discussion Paper)
Abstract
The objective of this paper is to explore the extent to which human judgement and resultant decision-making in a natural setting reflects the performance characteristics suggested by experimental work. in order to explore the quality of decisions made in a natural setting, an analysis is undertaken of bets placed on 19 396 horses in the UK parimutuel betting market.
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Published date: 1999
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Local EPrints ID: 36092
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/36092
PURE UUID: 7d8f76ac-b7f3-4309-b4c5-a231462b91de
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Date deposited: 24 Apr 2007
Last modified: 11 Dec 2021 15:31
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Contributors
Author:
J.E.V. Johnson
Author:
A.C. Bruce
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