Caída de la actividad en la población adulta. ¿Un efecto de la crisis económica o de la estructura del mercado de trabajo?

Abstract

This paper first, describe the evolution of the abandon of the labor activity in Spain (1976-2011), attending to age and moment of observation. Second, we analyze the ducational level in order to analyze the differences and similarities between the crisis (1976-1997) and economic expansion (1998-2008). For it we use the Labour Force Survey for the male population over 55 years. We model the probability of being active through logistic regression models. The results point to the impact of the economic situation, while the crisis that began in the seventies early retirement multiplied, with the subsequent economic expansion (twenty-first century) decreased, and thus under a similar legislative framework. In addition, retirement occurs later the higher level of education, so that an effective strategy would be a broad educational policy that includes the elderly.

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