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A quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning

A quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning
A quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning
National infrastructure (NI) systems (i.e., energy, transport, water, waste, and information and communications technology) provide essential services to the economy and contribute to human well-being. These systems have evolved over centuries, being planned and implemented piecewise, and are mostly managed in isolation from one another. Here, we argue that the growing interconnection between these systems and the convergent challenges ahead (i.e., demographic, technological, and climate change) call for an integrated “system-of-systems” approach to managing NI. Toward that end, we propose a modeling framework for the long-term (to 2100) simulation of NI system performance in a highly uncertain future. The approach is based on the assessment of the performance of infrastructure services in a wide range of possible future conditions. This robust optimization is used to identify cross-sectoral strategies that ensure satisfactory infrastructure performance. We demonstrate the framework using Great Britain's NI as an example.
1932-8184
Otto, A.
7a7273f8-b54e-438f-a3b4-ed59323cdacc
Hall, J.W.
493ab641-5e68-4cba-af1a-3a3aa774c1bf
Hickford, A.J.
55d34672-b7bb-47d4-97a6-095304c429de
Nicholls, R.J.
4ce1e355-cc5d-4702-8124-820932c57076
Alderson, D.
2450b038-855b-46c7-a5fa-faf8a540b6ca
Barr, S.
2b0a6a50-0251-40d2-adfa-4c3001b1b1ca
Otto, A.
7a7273f8-b54e-438f-a3b4-ed59323cdacc
Hall, J.W.
493ab641-5e68-4cba-af1a-3a3aa774c1bf
Hickford, A.J.
55d34672-b7bb-47d4-97a6-095304c429de
Nicholls, R.J.
4ce1e355-cc5d-4702-8124-820932c57076
Alderson, D.
2450b038-855b-46c7-a5fa-faf8a540b6ca
Barr, S.
2b0a6a50-0251-40d2-adfa-4c3001b1b1ca

Otto, A., Hall, J.W., Hickford, A.J., Nicholls, R.J., Alderson, D. and Barr, S. (2014) A quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning. IEEE Systems Journal, PP (99). (doi:10.1109/JSYST.2014.2361157).

Record type: Article

Abstract

National infrastructure (NI) systems (i.e., energy, transport, water, waste, and information and communications technology) provide essential services to the economy and contribute to human well-being. These systems have evolved over centuries, being planned and implemented piecewise, and are mostly managed in isolation from one another. Here, we argue that the growing interconnection between these systems and the convergent challenges ahead (i.e., demographic, technological, and climate change) call for an integrated “system-of-systems” approach to managing NI. Toward that end, we propose a modeling framework for the long-term (to 2100) simulation of NI system performance in a highly uncertain future. The approach is based on the assessment of the performance of infrastructure services in a wide range of possible future conditions. This robust optimization is used to identify cross-sectoral strategies that ensure satisfactory infrastructure performance. We demonstrate the framework using Great Britain's NI as an example.

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More information

Published date: 29 October 2014
Additional Information: Funded by EPSRC: UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC): PROGRAMME GRANT: Long term dynamics of interdependent infrastructure systems (EP/I01344X/1)
Organisations: Civil Maritime & Env. Eng & Sci Unit, Transportation Group, Faculty of Engineering and the Environment

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 368332
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/368332
ISSN: 1932-8184
PURE UUID: fefcbc08-56b5-4395-8577-d17bd913269b
ORCID for A.J. Hickford: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0001-6414-9064
ORCID for R.J. Nicholls: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-9715-1109

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 12 Sep 2014 11:29
Last modified: 11 Jul 2020 00:28

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Contributors

Author: A. Otto
Author: J.W. Hall
Author: A.J. Hickford ORCID iD
Author: R.J. Nicholls ORCID iD
Author: D. Alderson
Author: S. Barr

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