Williams, T.M. (1990) Risk analysis using an embedded CPA package. International Journal of Project Management, 8 (2), 84-88. (doi:10.1016/0263-7863(90)90041-9).
Abstract
This paper presents a method for evaluating risk in projects using a CPA package embedded in a simulation control framework. An implementation on a personal computer and a demonstration example are described. The key new features of this approach are firstly its ability to deal with a wide range of sources of uncertainty, including uncertainties in the network's structure and uncertain resource constraints, and secondly new indices of criticality.
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