Capture recapture to estimate criminal populations
Capture recapture to estimate criminal populations
Methodology is presented that allows to estimate the size of population from a single register, such as a police register of offenders. A capture-recapture variable is constructed from Dutch police records and is a count of the police contacts for a violation. A population size estimate is derived assuming that each count is a realization of a Poisson distribution and that the Poisson parameters are related to covariates through the truncated Poisson regression model or variants of this model. As an example, estimates for perpetrators of domestic violence are presented. It is concluded that the methodology is useful, provided it is used with care.
978-1-4614-5689-6
267-276
Heijden, Peter G.M.
85157917-3b33-4683-81be-713f987fd612
Cruyff, Maarten
68bcfa19-3d85-4b0f-a6a4-6e148b265f19
Böhning, Dankmar
e59cede5-81be-4dfa-afec-0e81ac3b7f6c
2014
Heijden, Peter G.M.
85157917-3b33-4683-81be-713f987fd612
Cruyff, Maarten
68bcfa19-3d85-4b0f-a6a4-6e148b265f19
Böhning, Dankmar
e59cede5-81be-4dfa-afec-0e81ac3b7f6c
Heijden, Peter G.M., Cruyff, Maarten and Böhning, Dankmar
(2014)
Capture recapture to estimate criminal populations.
In,
Bruinsma, G.J.N. and Weisburd, D.L.
(eds.)
Encyclopedia of Criminology and Criminal Justice.
Berlin, DE.
Springer, .
(doi:10.1007/978-1-4614-5690-2_662).
Record type:
Book Section
Abstract
Methodology is presented that allows to estimate the size of population from a single register, such as a police register of offenders. A capture-recapture variable is constructed from Dutch police records and is a count of the police contacts for a violation. A population size estimate is derived assuming that each count is a realization of a Poisson distribution and that the Poisson parameters are related to covariates through the truncated Poisson regression model or variants of this model. As an example, estimates for perpetrators of domestic violence are presented. It is concluded that the methodology is useful, provided it is used with care.
This record has no associated files available for download.
More information
Published date: 2014
Organisations:
Social Statistics & Demography
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 369749
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/369749
ISBN: 978-1-4614-5689-6
PURE UUID: 30372273-13c6-49d9-a9fb-492b62e31fc0
Catalogue record
Date deposited: 06 Oct 2014 12:38
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 03:46
Export record
Altmetrics
Contributors
Author:
Maarten Cruyff
Author:
Dankmar Böhning
Editor:
G.J.N. Bruinsma
Editor:
D.L. Weisburd
Download statistics
Downloads from ePrints over the past year. Other digital versions may also be available to download e.g. from the publisher's website.
View more statistics
