How many dentists does Sri Lanka need? Modelling to inform policy decisions
How many dentists does Sri Lanka need? Modelling to inform policy decisions
This paper describes a model which has been used to inform Government policy in Sri Lanka. The model has two components, representing supply and demand for dental care services. The supply-side component (the dental workforce model) uses system dynamics to represent the career progression of dentists from recruitment and training at the university dental school, through different career paths through to retirement. The demand-side model calculates a range of future demand scenarios for dental care, based on different assumptions about Sri Lanka’s potential future economic development. The combined model was used by the Sri Lankan government to plan better provision of state-funded dental care and the future university intake of dental students. Data collection for both models was challenging, and required some innovative research. The model itself, and its successful application, raise a number of wider issues concerning model implementation and acceptability by clients and model users.
1566–1577
Brailsford, S.C.
634585ff-c828-46ca-b33d-7ac017dda04f
De Silva, Dileep
749bded5-8b35-4d73-94e6-9087d0a75018
2015
Brailsford, S.C.
634585ff-c828-46ca-b33d-7ac017dda04f
De Silva, Dileep
749bded5-8b35-4d73-94e6-9087d0a75018
Brailsford, S.C. and De Silva, Dileep
(2015)
How many dentists does Sri Lanka need? Modelling to inform policy decisions.
Journal of the Operational Research Society, 66 (9), .
(doi:10.1057/jors.2014.136).
Abstract
This paper describes a model which has been used to inform Government policy in Sri Lanka. The model has two components, representing supply and demand for dental care services. The supply-side component (the dental workforce model) uses system dynamics to represent the career progression of dentists from recruitment and training at the university dental school, through different career paths through to retirement. The demand-side model calculates a range of future demand scenarios for dental care, based on different assumptions about Sri Lanka’s potential future economic development. The combined model was used by the Sri Lankan government to plan better provision of state-funded dental care and the future university intake of dental students. Data collection for both models was challenging, and required some innovative research. The model itself, and its successful application, raise a number of wider issues concerning model implementation and acceptability by clients and model users.
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Accepted/In Press date: 11 December 2014
e-pub ahead of print date: 28 January 2015
Published date: 2015
Organisations:
Southampton Business School
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 373118
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/373118
ISSN: 0160-5682
PURE UUID: d13bce18-2196-4e3f-b1aa-fd4727e33420
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Date deposited: 07 Jan 2015 13:59
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 02:42
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Author:
Dileep De Silva
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