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Scenarios of population change in the coastal ganges Brahmaputra Delta (2011-2051)

Scenarios of population change in the coastal ganges Brahmaputra Delta (2011-2051)
Scenarios of population change in the coastal ganges Brahmaputra Delta (2011-2051)
This paper provides an overview of population dynamics and scenarios of population change in the environmentally vulnerable coastal Ganges Brahmaputra Delta region. The main data sources used for the study include the historical and most recent Census data, data from Sample Vital Registration System (SVRS) and Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS). The research adopts the standard cohort component approach for population projections and provides population estimates for the period 2011-2051. The results include scenarios of future population change in the coastal Ganges Brahmaputra Delta (GBD) and district-level population projections by age and sex. The results show that population growth is likely to continue in some, but not all, districts in the study area. The findings also suggest that migration is most likely to be the deciding component of population change in the region. The paper concludes by discussing selected policy implications in the context of expected changes in population structure in the Ganges Brahmaputra Delta, including population aging and rapid urbanisation in some districts.
61
ESRC Centre for Population Change
Szabo, Sylvia
01d6bb83-2775-4470-aa2b-b6afbf936187
Begum, Dilruba
ce17e16d-6c6f-4311-9bbd-63304a7d686b
Ahmad, Sate
5f803947-ca23-4a2a-aa86-2a0445205806
Matthews, Zoe
ebaee878-8cb8-415f-8aa1-3af2c3856f55
Stretfield, Peter Kim
4efd399d-37e7-4076-8b96-1f4a22696628
McGowan, Teresa
4524e894-04de-4822-8508-f4b966e12ae2
Szabo, Sylvia
01d6bb83-2775-4470-aa2b-b6afbf936187
Begum, Dilruba
ce17e16d-6c6f-4311-9bbd-63304a7d686b
Ahmad, Sate
5f803947-ca23-4a2a-aa86-2a0445205806
Matthews, Zoe
ebaee878-8cb8-415f-8aa1-3af2c3856f55
Stretfield, Peter Kim
4efd399d-37e7-4076-8b96-1f4a22696628
McGowan, Teresa
4524e894-04de-4822-8508-f4b966e12ae2

Szabo, Sylvia, Begum, Dilruba, Ahmad, Sate, Matthews, Zoe and Stretfield, Peter Kim , McGowan, Teresa (ed.) (2015) Scenarios of population change in the coastal ganges Brahmaputra Delta (2011-2051) (ESRC Centre for Population Change Working Paper Series, 61) Southampton, GB. ESRC Centre for Population Change

Record type: Monograph (Working Paper)

Abstract

This paper provides an overview of population dynamics and scenarios of population change in the environmentally vulnerable coastal Ganges Brahmaputra Delta region. The main data sources used for the study include the historical and most recent Census data, data from Sample Vital Registration System (SVRS) and Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS). The research adopts the standard cohort component approach for population projections and provides population estimates for the period 2011-2051. The results include scenarios of future population change in the coastal Ganges Brahmaputra Delta (GBD) and district-level population projections by age and sex. The results show that population growth is likely to continue in some, but not all, districts in the study area. The findings also suggest that migration is most likely to be the deciding component of population change in the region. The paper concludes by discussing selected policy implications in the context of expected changes in population structure in the Ganges Brahmaputra Delta, including population aging and rapid urbanisation in some districts.

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2015_WP61_Scenarios_of_population_change_in_the_coastal_GBD_Szabo_et_al.pdf - Other
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Published date: 9 March 2015
Organisations: Social Statistics & Demography, Centre for Population Change

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 375012
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/375012
PURE UUID: 372a4600-91c1-4507-ac05-6398635bfe35

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Date deposited: 11 Mar 2015 11:55
Last modified: 28 Oct 2019 20:48

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