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Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe

Schröter, D, Cramer, W, Leemans, R, Prentice, I. C, Araújo, M. B., Arnell, N.W, Bondeau, A, Bugmann, H, Carter, T. R., Gracia, C. A., de la Vega-Leinert, A. C., Erhard, M., Ewert, F., Glendining, M., House, J. I., Kankaanpää, S., Klein, R. J.T., Lavorel, S., Lindner, Ma., Metzger, M. J., Meyer, J., Mitchell, T. D., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., Sabaté, S., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, J., Smith, P., Sykes, M. T., Thonicke, K., Thuiller, W., Tuck, G., Zaehle, S. and Zierl, B. (2005) Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe Science, 310, (5752), pp. 1333-1337. (doi:10.1126/science.1115233).

Record type: Article


Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, "surplus land" for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water availability, increasing risk of forest fires), especially in the Mediterranean and mountain regions.

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Submitted date: 26 May 2005
Published date: 25 November 2005
Keywords: ecosystem service supply, climate change, land-use change


Local EPrints ID: 37704
ISSN: 0036-8075
PURE UUID: 24ef8e76-badc-4ef2-9472-6958c8b86db2

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Date deposited: 25 May 2006
Last modified: 17 Jul 2017 15:41

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Author: D Schröter
Author: W Cramer
Author: R Leemans
Author: I. C Prentice
Author: M. B. Araújo
Author: N.W Arnell
Author: A Bondeau
Author: H Bugmann
Author: T. R. Carter
Author: C. A. Gracia
Author: A. C. de la Vega-Leinert
Author: M. Erhard
Author: F. Ewert
Author: M. Glendining
Author: J. I. House
Author: S. Kankaanpää
Author: R. J.T. Klein
Author: S. Lavorel
Author: Ma. Lindner
Author: M. J. Metzger
Author: J. Meyer
Author: T. D. Mitchell
Author: I. Reginster
Author: M. Rounsevell
Author: S. Sabaté
Author: S. Sitch
Author: B. Smith
Author: J. Smith
Author: P. Smith
Author: M. T. Sykes
Author: K. Thonicke
Author: W. Thuiller
Author: G. Tuck
Author: S. Zaehle
Author: B. Zierl

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