Re-entry prediction of spent rocket bodies in GTO
Re-entry prediction of spent rocket bodies in GTO
Spent upper stages are bodies consisting of components likely to survive re-entry, for example propellant tanks. Therefore, the re-entry of upper stages might be associated with high on-ground casualty risk. This paper presents a tool for re-entry prediction of spent rocket bodies in GTO based exclusively on Two Line Element set (TLE) data. TLE analysis and filtering, spacecraft parameters estimation, and combined state and parameters estimation are the main building blocks of the tool. The performance of the tool is assessed by computing the accuracy of the re-entry prediction of 92 GTO objects, which re-entered in the past 50 years.
Gondelach, David, Jonathan
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Lidtke, Aleksander
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Armellin, Roberto
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Colombo, Camilla
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Lewis, Hugh
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Funke, Quirin
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Flohrer, Tim
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Gondelach, David, Jonathan
693aa9ad-3625-4ec6-867c-101fa9c98b00
Lidtke, Aleksander
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Armellin, Roberto
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Colombo, Camilla
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Lewis, Hugh
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Funke, Quirin
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Flohrer, Tim
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Gondelach, David, Jonathan, Lidtke, Aleksander and Armellin, Roberto et al.
(2016)
Re-entry prediction of spent rocket bodies in GTO.
26th AAS/AIAA Space Flight Mechanics Meeting, Napa, CA, Napa, United States.
14 - 18 Feb 2016.
19 pp
.
(Submitted)
Record type:
Conference or Workshop Item
(Paper)
Abstract
Spent upper stages are bodies consisting of components likely to survive re-entry, for example propellant tanks. Therefore, the re-entry of upper stages might be associated with high on-ground casualty risk. This paper presents a tool for re-entry prediction of spent rocket bodies in GTO based exclusively on Two Line Element set (TLE) data. TLE analysis and filtering, spacecraft parameters estimation, and combined state and parameters estimation are the main building blocks of the tool. The performance of the tool is assessed by computing the accuracy of the re-entry prediction of 92 GTO objects, which re-entered in the past 50 years.
Text
Gondelach2016-REENTRY_PREDICTION_OF_SPENT_ROCKET_BODIES_IN_GTO.pdf
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Submitted date: 4 March 2016
Venue - Dates:
26th AAS/AIAA Space Flight Mechanics Meeting, Napa, CA, Napa, United States, 2016-02-14 - 2016-02-18
Organisations:
Astronautics Group, Education Hub
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 389640
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/389640
PURE UUID: 332d167e-5095-4fab-9fdf-ff032c99a2a0
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Date deposited: 11 Mar 2016 14:09
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 02:54
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Contributors
Author:
David, Jonathan Gondelach
Author:
Camilla Colombo
Author:
Quirin Funke
Author:
Tim Flohrer
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