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Smoothing mortality data: the English life table, 2010-12

Smoothing mortality data: the English life table, 2010-12
Smoothing mortality data: the English life table, 2010-12
We describe the most recent statistical methodology used to produce the 17th English Life Table, covering the period 2010–2012. Crude mortality rates are smoothed, or graduated, by using a combination of a generalized additive model and low dimensional parametric models. The approach to graduation acknowledges uncertainty, particularly in the highest age groups, by model averaging, using a simplified version of a full Bayesian analysis.
0964-1998
717-735
Dodd, Erengul
b3faed76-f22b-4928-a922-7f0b8439030d
Forster, Jonathan
e3c534ad-fa69-42f5-b67b-11617bc84879
Bijak, Jakub
e33bf9d3-fca6-405f-844c-4b2decf93c66
Smith, Peter
961a01a3-bf4c-43ca-9599-5be4fd5d3940
Dodd, Erengul
b3faed76-f22b-4928-a922-7f0b8439030d
Forster, Jonathan
e3c534ad-fa69-42f5-b67b-11617bc84879
Bijak, Jakub
e33bf9d3-fca6-405f-844c-4b2decf93c66
Smith, Peter
961a01a3-bf4c-43ca-9599-5be4fd5d3940

Dodd, Erengul, Forster, Jonathan, Bijak, Jakub and Smith, Peter (2018) Smoothing mortality data: the English life table, 2010-12. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 181 (3), 717-735. (doi:10.1111/rssa.12309).

Record type: Article

Abstract

We describe the most recent statistical methodology used to produce the 17th English Life Table, covering the period 2010–2012. Crude mortality rates are smoothed, or graduated, by using a combination of a generalized additive model and low dimensional parametric models. The approach to graduation acknowledges uncertainty, particularly in the highest age groups, by model averaging, using a simplified version of a full Bayesian analysis.

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Submitted date: 15 January 2016
Accepted/In Press date: 24 June 2017
e-pub ahead of print date: 11 August 2017
Published date: June 2018
Organisations: Statistics
Learn more about Mathematical Sciences research

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 389851
URI: https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/389851
DOI: doi:10.1111/rssa.12309
ISSN: 0964-1998
PURE UUID: 785928ee-441b-4563-88c7-d45913358a3c
ORCID for Jonathan Forster: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-7867-3411
ORCID for Jakub Bijak: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-2563-5040
ORCID for Peter Smith: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-4423-5410

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Date deposited: 05 Apr 2016 11:50
Last modified: 19 Jul 2019 01:19

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Contributors

Author: Erengul Dodd
Author: Jonathan Forster ORCID iD
Author: Jakub Bijak ORCID iD
Author: Peter Smith ORCID iD

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