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The shaping of genetic variation in edge-of-range populations under past and future climate change

The shaping of genetic variation in edge-of-range populations under past and future climate change
The shaping of genetic variation in edge-of-range populations under past and future climate change
With rates of climate change exceeding the rate at which many species are able to shift their range or adapt, it is important to understand how future changes are likely to affect biodiversity at all levels of organisation. Understanding past responses and extent of niche conservatism in climatic tolerance can help predict future consequences. We use an integrated approach to determine the genetic consequences of past and future climate changes on a bat species, Plecotus austriacus. Glacial refugia predicted by palaeo-modelling match those identified from analyses of extant genetic diversity and model-based inference of demographic history. Former refugial populations currently contain disproportionately high genetic diversity, but niche conservatism, shifts in suitable areas and barriers to migration mean that these hotspots of genetic diversity are under threat from future climate change. Evidence of population decline despite recent northward migration highlights the need to conserve leading-edge populations for spearheading future range shifts.
1461-023X
1258-1266
Razgour, Orly
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Juste, Javier
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Ibáñez, Carlos
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Kiefer, Andreas
508fd66c-edf9-4b8b-ad9d-0338b43dcde5
Rebelo, Hugo
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Puechmaille, Sébastien J.
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Arlettaz, Raphael
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Burke, Terry
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Dawson, Deborah A.
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Beaumont, Mark
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Jones, Gareth
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Razgour, Orly
107f4912-304a-44d5-99f8-cdf2a9ce6f14
Juste, Javier
d44bbd1c-ec75-43f4-87e6-214729740e0e
Ibáñez, Carlos
720fc66b-56ca-469e-90cb-dacef91483e3
Kiefer, Andreas
508fd66c-edf9-4b8b-ad9d-0338b43dcde5
Rebelo, Hugo
81a4b2cf-7d26-4a69-974f-ea0854c33b0d
Puechmaille, Sébastien J.
e0514bcf-93d2-4c51-8548-a754c3213105
Arlettaz, Raphael
a271f2b4-38f6-4c62-ba7e-31f815428dbf
Burke, Terry
16f9b6a5-0b4b-4001-85c5-eef8f14d3946
Dawson, Deborah A.
5576691c-0b23-4331-8fba-a91abbfa6c85
Beaumont, Mark
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Jones, Gareth
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Razgour, Orly, Juste, Javier, Ibáñez, Carlos, Kiefer, Andreas, Rebelo, Hugo, Puechmaille, Sébastien J., Arlettaz, Raphael, Burke, Terry, Dawson, Deborah A., Beaumont, Mark and Jones, Gareth (2013) The shaping of genetic variation in edge-of-range populations under past and future climate change. Ecology Letters, 16 (10), 1258-1266. (doi:10.1111/ele.12158).

Record type: Article

Abstract

With rates of climate change exceeding the rate at which many species are able to shift their range or adapt, it is important to understand how future changes are likely to affect biodiversity at all levels of organisation. Understanding past responses and extent of niche conservatism in climatic tolerance can help predict future consequences. We use an integrated approach to determine the genetic consequences of past and future climate changes on a bat species, Plecotus austriacus. Glacial refugia predicted by palaeo-modelling match those identified from analyses of extant genetic diversity and model-based inference of demographic history. Former refugial populations currently contain disproportionately high genetic diversity, but niche conservatism, shifts in suitable areas and barriers to migration mean that these hotspots of genetic diversity are under threat from future climate change. Evidence of population decline despite recent northward migration highlights the need to conserve leading-edge populations for spearheading future range shifts.

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Accepted/In Press date: 27 June 2013
Published date: October 2013
Organisations: Environmental

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 394293
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/394293
ISSN: 1461-023X
PURE UUID: 8225c1b0-73c7-4c86-bf8b-d2c5175d27d9
ORCID for Orly Razgour: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-3186-0313

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Date deposited: 13 May 2016 10:48
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 00:20

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Contributors

Author: Orly Razgour ORCID iD
Author: Javier Juste
Author: Carlos Ibáñez
Author: Andreas Kiefer
Author: Hugo Rebelo
Author: Sébastien J. Puechmaille
Author: Raphael Arlettaz
Author: Terry Burke
Author: Deborah A. Dawson
Author: Mark Beaumont
Author: Gareth Jones

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