Determining preference for weather and atmospheric conditions: methodology and an application
Determining preference for weather and atmospheric conditions: methodology and an application
The medical and psychological literatures suggest a clear effect of weather and atmospheric conditions on athletic performance. Despite this, little attention has been given to measuring the influence of weather and atmospheric factors when forecasting performance in sport. Consequently, we develop a modelling procedure to maximise the extraction of information concerning the influence of a myriad of environmental conditions on sporting performance. We illustrate this procedure by examining to what extent both thoroughbred horses and their jockeys can be shown to have a ‘preference’ for particular weather and atmospheric factors. To achieve this, we employ data from the Met Office Integrated Data Archive System and demonstrate that our model is effective at capturing the influence of these environmental factors when forecasting performance in horseracing.
Environmental conditions, Forecasting, Preferences
1-10
University of Southampton
Costa Sperb, Luis Felipe
9e42a3f1-c9be-45b9-8680-eb558b52aab3
Sung, Ming-Chien
2114f823-bc7f-4306-a775-67aee413aa03
Ma, Tiejun
1f591849-f17c-4209-9f42-e6587b499bae
Johnson, Johnnie
6d9f1a51-38a8-4011-a792-bfc82040fac4
26 October 2017
Costa Sperb, Luis Felipe
9e42a3f1-c9be-45b9-8680-eb558b52aab3
Sung, Ming-Chien
2114f823-bc7f-4306-a775-67aee413aa03
Ma, Tiejun
1f591849-f17c-4209-9f42-e6587b499bae
Johnson, Johnnie
6d9f1a51-38a8-4011-a792-bfc82040fac4
Costa Sperb, Luis Felipe, Sung, Ming-Chien, Ma, Tiejun and Johnson, Johnnie
(2017)
Determining preference for weather and atmospheric conditions: methodology and an application
Southampton.
University of Southampton
10pp.
Record type:
Monograph
(Working Paper)
Abstract
The medical and psychological literatures suggest a clear effect of weather and atmospheric conditions on athletic performance. Despite this, little attention has been given to measuring the influence of weather and atmospheric factors when forecasting performance in sport. Consequently, we develop a modelling procedure to maximise the extraction of information concerning the influence of a myriad of environmental conditions on sporting performance. We illustrate this procedure by examining to what extent both thoroughbred horses and their jockeys can be shown to have a ‘preference’ for particular weather and atmospheric factors. To achieve this, we employ data from the Met Office Integrated Data Archive System and demonstrate that our model is effective at capturing the influence of these environmental factors when forecasting performance in horseracing.
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Preference dscussion paper
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Published date: 26 October 2017
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Keywords:
Environmental conditions, Forecasting, Preferences
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Local EPrints ID: 415092
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/415092
PURE UUID: ae0bf603-0d20-46cc-8e51-071180f44f3f
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Date deposited: 26 Oct 2017 16:30
Last modified: 16 Mar 2024 03:39
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Contributors
Author:
Luis Felipe Costa Sperb
Author:
Johnnie Johnson
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