The University of Southampton
University of Southampton Institutional Repository

Impact of credit risk and business cycles on momentum returns

Impact of credit risk and business cycles on momentum returns
Impact of credit risk and business cycles on momentum returns

In this paper, we show that significant momentum returns generate from credit-rated stocks across business cycles. The generation of momentum earned from speculative-grade stocks is on average 1.27% per month and are more prevalent during contraction periods in which they earn 1.61% per month. We also find that investment-grade stocks earn on average momentum returns of 0.85% per month and 1.14% per month during contractions. Higher momentum returns are unexplained by macroeconomic variables during contractions such as the 2008 recession. Our findings conclude that momentum return is due to high uncertainty associated with the increased credit risk of stocks and across business cycles.

Business cycles, Credit-rated stocks, Momentum, Uncertainty
0884-8289
17-39
Springer New York
Sarwar, Sirajum Munira
4fbc5fab-884e-4bd5-8347-e019574ad445
Lin, Sharon Xiaowen
8e04cf8c-e194-4a35-91fa-ee261d553a9c
Muradoǧlu, Yaz Gülnur
075f7408-9f13-4e9d-8411-19fe38f7a479
Sarwar, Sirajum Munira
4fbc5fab-884e-4bd5-8347-e019574ad445
Lin, Sharon Xiaowen
8e04cf8c-e194-4a35-91fa-ee261d553a9c
Muradoǧlu, Yaz Gülnur
075f7408-9f13-4e9d-8411-19fe38f7a479

Sarwar, Sirajum Munira, Lin, Sharon Xiaowen and Muradoǧlu, Yaz Gülnur (2017) Impact of credit risk and business cycles on momentum returns. In, International Series in Operations Research and Management Science. (International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, , (doi:10.1007/978-3-319-61320-8_2), 257) Springer New York, pp. 17-39. (doi:10.1007/978-3-319-61320-8_2).

Record type: Book Section

Abstract

In this paper, we show that significant momentum returns generate from credit-rated stocks across business cycles. The generation of momentum earned from speculative-grade stocks is on average 1.27% per month and are more prevalent during contraction periods in which they earn 1.61% per month. We also find that investment-grade stocks earn on average momentum returns of 0.85% per month and 1.14% per month during contractions. Higher momentum returns are unexplained by macroeconomic variables during contractions such as the 2008 recession. Our findings conclude that momentum return is due to high uncertainty associated with the increased credit risk of stocks and across business cycles.

Full text not available from this repository.

More information

e-pub ahead of print date: 30 September 2017
Keywords: Business cycles, Credit-rated stocks, Momentum, Uncertainty

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 417477
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/417477
ISSN: 0884-8289
PURE UUID: cedfd16d-3e88-4575-b427-f0121fa4ae79

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 01 Feb 2018 17:30
Last modified: 07 Oct 2020 00:40

Export record

Altmetrics

Download statistics

Downloads from ePrints over the past year. Other digital versions may also be available to download e.g. from the publisher's website.

View more statistics

Atom RSS 1.0 RSS 2.0

Contact ePrints Soton: eprints@soton.ac.uk

ePrints Soton supports OAI 2.0 with a base URL of http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/cgi/oai2

This repository has been built using EPrints software, developed at the University of Southampton, but available to everyone to use.

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we will assume that you are happy to receive cookies on the University of Southampton website.

×