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An integrated approach providing scientific and policy-relevant insights for South-West Bangladesh

An integrated approach providing scientific and policy-relevant insights for South-West Bangladesh
An integrated approach providing scientific and policy-relevant insights for South-West Bangladesh
Bangladesh is identified as an impact hotspot for sea-level rise in multiple studies. However, a range of other factors must be considered including catchment management, socio-economic development and governance quality, as well as delta plain biophysical processes. Taking an integrated assessment approach highlights that to 2050 future changes are more sensitive to human choice/policy intervention than climate change, ecosystem services diminish as a proportion of the economy with time, continuing historic trends and significant poverty persists for some households. Hence under favourable policy decisions, development could transform Bangladesh by 2050 making it less vulnerable to longer-term climate change and subsidence. Beyond 2050, the threats of climate change are much larger, requiring strategic adaptation responses and policy changes that must be initiated now.
49-69
Springer International Publishing
Nicholls, Robert J.
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Hutton, Craig W.
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Lázár, Attila N.
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Neil Adger, W.
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Allan, Andrew
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Whitehead, Paul G.
5dfb7549-7f3d-4e18-b99b-db00418fdd5c
Wolf, Judith
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Rahman, Md Munsur
e18e7868-17cf-45f3-aa90-c5b96707debe
Salehin, Mashfiqus
d1298918-1692-434b-9cb4-52a110feb632
Hanson, Susan E.
dc079588-5eb2-4177-8df5-01fa493d8c16
Payo, Andres
9edd93d0-aa3e-43b2-972e-5cd8e4f5fc7b
Nicholls, Robert J.
Hutton, Craig W.
Adger, W. Neil
Hanson, Susan E.
Rahman, Md. Munsur
Salehin, Mashfiqus
Nicholls, Robert J.
4ce1e355-cc5d-4702-8124-820932c57076
Hutton, Craig W.
9102617b-caf7-4538-9414-c29e72f5fe2e
Lázár, Attila N.
d7f835e7-1e3d-4742-b366-af19cf5fc881
Neil Adger, W.
6bf7530f-6fd1-4395-b93e-fcb081815917
Allan, Andrew
d167b4a4-7c6d-4598-a200-7e9b94b9e41d
Whitehead, Paul G.
5dfb7549-7f3d-4e18-b99b-db00418fdd5c
Wolf, Judith
4b74b130-746c-44a9-8ade-dfc9679fc5be
Rahman, Md Munsur
e18e7868-17cf-45f3-aa90-c5b96707debe
Salehin, Mashfiqus
d1298918-1692-434b-9cb4-52a110feb632
Hanson, Susan E.
dc079588-5eb2-4177-8df5-01fa493d8c16
Payo, Andres
9edd93d0-aa3e-43b2-972e-5cd8e4f5fc7b
Nicholls, Robert J.
Hutton, Craig W.
Adger, W. Neil
Hanson, Susan E.
Rahman, Md. Munsur
Salehin, Mashfiqus

Nicholls, Robert J., Hutton, Craig W., Lázár, Attila N., Neil Adger, W., Allan, Andrew, Whitehead, Paul G., Wolf, Judith, Rahman, Md Munsur, Salehin, Mashfiqus, Hanson, Susan E. and Payo, Andres (2018) An integrated approach providing scientific and policy-relevant insights for South-West Bangladesh. In, Nicholls, Robert J., Hutton, Craig W., Adger, W. Neil, Hanson, Susan E., Rahman, Md. Munsur and Salehin, Mashfiqus (eds.) Ecosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas: Integrated Assessment for Policy Analysis. Springer International Publishing, pp. 49-69. (doi:10.1007/978-3-319-71093-8_3).

Record type: Book Section

Abstract

Bangladesh is identified as an impact hotspot for sea-level rise in multiple studies. However, a range of other factors must be considered including catchment management, socio-economic development and governance quality, as well as delta plain biophysical processes. Taking an integrated assessment approach highlights that to 2050 future changes are more sensitive to human choice/policy intervention than climate change, ecosystem services diminish as a proportion of the economy with time, continuing historic trends and significant poverty persists for some households. Hence under favourable policy decisions, development could transform Bangladesh by 2050 making it less vulnerable to longer-term climate change and subsidence. Beyond 2050, the threats of climate change are much larger, requiring strategic adaptation responses and policy changes that must be initiated now.

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e-pub ahead of print date: 30 May 2018
Published date: 30 May 2018

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Local EPrints ID: 423604
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/423604
PURE UUID: 86ba828d-8454-419b-a74f-84d642e1d4b5
ORCID for Robert J. Nicholls: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-9715-1109
ORCID for Craig W. Hutton: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-5896-756X
ORCID for Attila N. Lázár: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-2033-2013

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Date deposited: 27 Sep 2018 16:30
Last modified: 07 Oct 2020 07:05

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