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The impact of Brexit on international students' return intentions

The impact of Brexit on international students' return intentions
The impact of Brexit on international students' return intentions
This paper is the first attempt to study the causal impact of the UK’s departure from the European Union (EU), on the post-graduation mobility decisions of EU students in the UK. We exploit the British government’s formal withdrawal notification under Article 50 as a natural experiment and employ a difference-in-differences design. Using data from a new survey of graduating international students, we find that immediately after the announcement of the UK’s withdrawal from the EU EU graduating students are significantly more likely than non-EU graduating students to plan to leaving the UK upon graduation. Interestingly, students from the new EU countries and students from the EU14 countries who are undecided of their migration plans drive these results. We further show that the deterrent effects are heterogeneous and depend on age and subject among others. These findings carry important implications for post-Brexit UK and for other European countries with emerging calls for their own referendums.
2042-4116
90
University of Southampton
Falkingham, Jane
8df36615-1547-4a6d-ad55-aa9496e85519
Giulietti, Corrado
c662221c-fad3-4456-bfe3-78f8a5211158
Wahba, Jackline
03ae9304-c329-40c6-9bfc-d91cfa9e7164
Wang, Chuhong
56885a78-e0db-4a28-9673-cb7bb015a0cb
Falkingham, Jane
8df36615-1547-4a6d-ad55-aa9496e85519
Giulietti, Corrado
c662221c-fad3-4456-bfe3-78f8a5211158
Wahba, Jackline
03ae9304-c329-40c6-9bfc-d91cfa9e7164
Wang, Chuhong
56885a78-e0db-4a28-9673-cb7bb015a0cb

Falkingham, Jane, Giulietti, Corrado, Wahba, Jackline and Wang, Chuhong (2018) The impact of Brexit on international students' return intentions (ESRC Centre for Population Change - Working Paper, 90) University of Southampton 53pp.

Record type: Monograph (Working Paper)

Abstract

This paper is the first attempt to study the causal impact of the UK’s departure from the European Union (EU), on the post-graduation mobility decisions of EU students in the UK. We exploit the British government’s formal withdrawal notification under Article 50 as a natural experiment and employ a difference-in-differences design. Using data from a new survey of graduating international students, we find that immediately after the announcement of the UK’s withdrawal from the EU EU graduating students are significantly more likely than non-EU graduating students to plan to leaving the UK upon graduation. Interestingly, students from the new EU countries and students from the EU14 countries who are undecided of their migration plans drive these results. We further show that the deterrent effects are heterogeneous and depend on age and subject among others. These findings carry important implications for post-Brexit UK and for other European countries with emerging calls for their own referendums.

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2018_BP90_Impact_of_Brexit_on_International_Students_Giulietti
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Published date: 20 December 2018

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 427110
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/427110
ISSN: 2042-4116
PURE UUID: 14547570-dae8-4822-a6e1-75429b0469e7
ORCID for Jane Falkingham: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-7135-5875
ORCID for Corrado Giulietti: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-2986-4438
ORCID for Jackline Wahba: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-0002-3443

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Date deposited: 03 Jan 2019 10:27
Last modified: 18 Sep 2019 00:39

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