Falkingham, Jane, Giulietti, Corrado, Wahba, Jackline and Wang, Chuhong (2018) The impact of Brexit on international students' return intentions (ESRC Centre for Population Change - Working Paper, 90) University of Southampton 53pp.
Abstract
This paper is the first attempt to study the causal impact of the UK’s departure from the European Union (EU), on the post-graduation mobility decisions of EU students in the UK. We exploit the British government’s formal withdrawal notification under Article 50 as a natural experiment and employ a difference-in-differences design. Using data from a new survey of graduating international students, we find that immediately after the announcement of the UK’s withdrawal from the EU EU graduating students are significantly more likely than non-EU graduating students to plan to leaving the UK upon graduation. Interestingly, students from the new EU countries and students from the EU14 countries who are undecided of their migration plans drive these results. We further show that the deterrent effects are heterogeneous and depend on age and subject among others. These findings carry important implications for post-Brexit UK and for other European countries with emerging calls for their own referendums.
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- Faculties (pre 2018 reorg) > Faculty of Engineering and the Environment (pre 2018 reorg) > Southampton Marine & Maritime Institute (pre 2018 reorg)
- Current Faculties > Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Economic Social and Political Science > Centre for Population Change
School of Economic Social and Political Science > Centre for Population Change - Current Faculties > Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Economic Social and Political Science > Social Statistics and Demography
School of Economic Social and Political Science > Social Statistics and Demography - Current Faculties > Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Economic Social and Political Science > Economics
School of Economic Social and Political Science > Economics - Current Faculties > Faculty of Social Sciences
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