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Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy

Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy
Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy
A multiplicative component model is applied in this paper to present a simple, yet powerful, framework for analysing and projecting internal migration flows. The multiplicative components are useful for identifying important underlying structures in the migration patterns. To demonstrate, seven periods of age-specific interregional migration in Italy (1970-1971 to 2000-2001) are analysed. This information is then used to project the age and spatial structures forward to the 2010-2011 period. The projection model focuses on the underlying structures, which allows both the stable and changing aspects of the migration patterns to be included.
internal migration, migration analysis, migration estimation, migration projection, Italy, categorical data analysis
1544-8444
371-388
Raymer, James
ed2973c1-b78d-4166-baf3-4e18f1b24070
Bonaguidi, Alberto
09397d71-2dcd-4367-ae97-02737482c463
Valentini, Alessandro
a914ff4b-bf34-493e-a7f2-e25f56be1b06
Raymer, James
ed2973c1-b78d-4166-baf3-4e18f1b24070
Bonaguidi, Alberto
09397d71-2dcd-4367-ae97-02737482c463
Valentini, Alessandro
a914ff4b-bf34-493e-a7f2-e25f56be1b06

Raymer, James, Bonaguidi, Alberto and Valentini, Alessandro (2006) Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy. Population, Space and Place, 12 (5), 371-388. (doi:10.1002/psp.414).

Record type: Article

Abstract

A multiplicative component model is applied in this paper to present a simple, yet powerful, framework for analysing and projecting internal migration flows. The multiplicative components are useful for identifying important underlying structures in the migration patterns. To demonstrate, seven periods of age-specific interregional migration in Italy (1970-1971 to 2000-2001) are analysed. This information is then used to project the age and spatial structures forward to the 2010-2011 period. The projection model focuses on the underlying structures, which allows both the stable and changing aspects of the migration patterns to be included.

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More information

Published date: 2006
Additional Information: Received 30 August 2005; revised 13 March 2006; accepted 15 March 2006
Keywords: internal migration, migration analysis, migration estimation, migration projection, Italy, categorical data analysis

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 42732
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/42732
DOI: doi:10.1002/psp.414
ISSN: 1544-8444
PURE UUID: 09280012-57bc-4558-af57-8f71d51a002c

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 14 Dec 2006
Last modified: 15 Mar 2024 08:50

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Contributors

Author: James Raymer
Author: Alberto Bonaguidi
Author: Alessandro Valentini

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