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Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy

Raymer, James, Bonaguidi, Alberto and Valentini, Alessandro (2006) Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy Population, Space and Place, 12, (5), pp. 371-388. (doi:10.1002/psp.414).

Record type: Article


A multiplicative component model is applied in this paper to present a simple, yet powerful, framework for analysing and projecting internal migration flows. The multiplicative components are useful for identifying important underlying structures in the migration patterns. To demonstrate, seven periods of age-specific interregional migration in Italy (1970-1971 to 2000-2001) are analysed. This information is then used to project the age and spatial structures forward to the 2010-2011 period. The projection model focuses on the underlying structures, which allows both the stable and changing aspects of the migration patterns to be included.

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Published date: 2006
Additional Information: Received 30 August 2005; revised 13 March 2006; accepted 15 March 2006
Keywords: internal migration, migration analysis, migration estimation, migration projection, Italy, categorical data analysis


Local EPrints ID: 42732
ISSN: 1544-8444
PURE UUID: 09280012-57bc-4558-af57-8f71d51a002c

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Date deposited: 14 Dec 2006
Last modified: 17 Jul 2017 15:21

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Author: James Raymer
Author: Alberto Bonaguidi
Author: Alessandro Valentini

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