The University of Southampton
University of Southampton Institutional Repository

The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions

The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions
The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions
Studies of climate change at specific intervals of future warming have primarily been addressed through top-down approaches using climate projections and modelled impacts. In contrast, bottom-up approaches focus on the recent past and present vulnerability. Here, we examine climate signals at different increments of warming and consider the need to reconcile top-down and bottom-up approaches. We synthesise insights from recent studies in three climate-sensitive systems where change is a defining feature of the human-environment system. Whilst top-down and bottom-up approaches generate complementary insights into who and what is at risk, integrating their results is a much needed step towards developing relevant information to address the needs of immediate adaptation decisions.
1758-678X
Conway, Declan
39c05253-1626-4c22-8e10-b3b9adc35af7
Nicholls, Robert
4ce1e355-cc5d-4702-8124-820932c57076
Brown, Sally
dd3c5852-78cc-435a-9846-4f3f540f2840
Tebboth, Mark
9197dc2d-e576-4109-b54c-a18636e20608
Neil Adger, W.
6bf7530f-6fd1-4395-b93e-fcb081815917
Ahmad, Bashir
f8456535-06b0-4cbf-a750-20bb3a73c1e9
Biemans, Hester
7d21a154-a7bb-447e-ab11-40385e703e6f
Crick, Florence
ec3f7c0b-877f-4096-8ec8-dac565dbcb37
Lutz, Arthur F
39e5c732-165a-4b42-a479-950d5117f0c3
De Campos, Ricardo Safra
12bec5e2-031f-44ee-ba50-21303a685f07
Said, Mohammed
56cc2920-5869-4e17-9a43-7efb37b6dc41
Singh, Chandni
dce573e3-3f25-441d-8cc1-5bf06f3a48a9
Zaroug, Modathir Abdalla Hassan
7bf12389-1428-4f89-b5ba-c6c18cc897b4
Ludi, Eva
c1fab6ea-93d8-479b-9b49-b26eb44c7463
New, Mark
0695350e-8d1e-424c-b4a4-b33cbeba62e1
Wester, Phillipus
a508bef4-ebb3-4197-bbf1-6d461d52bdea
Conway, Declan
39c05253-1626-4c22-8e10-b3b9adc35af7
Nicholls, Robert
4ce1e355-cc5d-4702-8124-820932c57076
Brown, Sally
dd3c5852-78cc-435a-9846-4f3f540f2840
Tebboth, Mark
9197dc2d-e576-4109-b54c-a18636e20608
Neil Adger, W.
6bf7530f-6fd1-4395-b93e-fcb081815917
Ahmad, Bashir
f8456535-06b0-4cbf-a750-20bb3a73c1e9
Biemans, Hester
7d21a154-a7bb-447e-ab11-40385e703e6f
Crick, Florence
ec3f7c0b-877f-4096-8ec8-dac565dbcb37
Lutz, Arthur F
39e5c732-165a-4b42-a479-950d5117f0c3
De Campos, Ricardo Safra
12bec5e2-031f-44ee-ba50-21303a685f07
Said, Mohammed
56cc2920-5869-4e17-9a43-7efb37b6dc41
Singh, Chandni
dce573e3-3f25-441d-8cc1-5bf06f3a48a9
Zaroug, Modathir Abdalla Hassan
7bf12389-1428-4f89-b5ba-c6c18cc897b4
Ludi, Eva
c1fab6ea-93d8-479b-9b49-b26eb44c7463
New, Mark
0695350e-8d1e-424c-b4a4-b33cbeba62e1
Wester, Phillipus
a508bef4-ebb3-4197-bbf1-6d461d52bdea

Conway, Declan, Nicholls, Robert, Brown, Sally, Tebboth, Mark, Neil Adger, W., Ahmad, Bashir, Biemans, Hester, Crick, Florence, Lutz, Arthur F, De Campos, Ricardo Safra, Said, Mohammed, Singh, Chandni, Zaroug, Modathir Abdalla Hassan, Ludi, Eva, New, Mark and Wester, Phillipus (2019) The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions. Nature Climate Change. (doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0502-0).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Studies of climate change at specific intervals of future warming have primarily been addressed through top-down approaches using climate projections and modelled impacts. In contrast, bottom-up approaches focus on the recent past and present vulnerability. Here, we examine climate signals at different increments of warming and consider the need to reconcile top-down and bottom-up approaches. We synthesise insights from recent studies in three climate-sensitive systems where change is a defining feature of the human-environment system. Whilst top-down and bottom-up approaches generate complementary insights into who and what is at risk, integrating their results is a much needed step towards developing relevant information to address the needs of immediate adaptation decisions.

Text
CARIAA-NCC-FINAL - Accepted Manuscript
Restricted to Repository staff only until 17 December 2019.
Request a copy

More information

Accepted/In Press date: 10 May 2019
e-pub ahead of print date: 17 June 2019

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 431862
URI: https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/431862
ISSN: 1758-678X
PURE UUID: 1fda8a72-99c5-436e-9351-e38268fb9994
ORCID for Robert Nicholls: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-9715-1109
ORCID for Sally Brown: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-1185-1962

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 19 Jun 2019 16:30
Last modified: 20 Jun 2019 00:35

Export record

Altmetrics

Contributors

Author: Declan Conway
Author: Robert Nicholls ORCID iD
Author: Sally Brown ORCID iD
Author: Mark Tebboth
Author: W. Neil Adger
Author: Bashir Ahmad
Author: Hester Biemans
Author: Florence Crick
Author: Arthur F Lutz
Author: Ricardo Safra De Campos
Author: Mohammed Said
Author: Chandni Singh
Author: Modathir Abdalla Hassan Zaroug
Author: Eva Ludi
Author: Mark New
Author: Phillipus Wester

University divisions

Download statistics

Downloads from ePrints over the past year. Other digital versions may also be available to download e.g. from the publisher's website.

View more statistics

Atom RSS 1.0 RSS 2.0

Contact ePrints Soton: eprints@soton.ac.uk

ePrints Soton supports OAI 2.0 with a base URL of https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/cgi/oai2

This repository has been built using EPrints software, developed at the University of Southampton, but available to everyone to use.

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we will assume that you are happy to receive cookies on the University of Southampton website.

×