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Using simulation to measure the performance of a search operation for a man overboard

Using simulation to measure the performance of a search operation for a man overboard
Using simulation to measure the performance of a search operation for a man overboard

A man overboard is defined as a situation in which a person falls out at sea from a ship and is in need of rescue. In such cases, a quick and effective search and rescue (SAR) operation are crucial to increase the survival probability of the victim. If there is no visual contact with the victim, i.e. the exact time and location that the crew was overboard, and the drift direction and speed in the region are not certain, then the situation requires conducting a rescue maneuver in an uncertain area that is expanding over time. In this study, we compute the lower and upper bounds on the performance of a search operation in an expanding area for a man overboard situation. After deriving bounds on the cumulative detection probability of the victim, we test the validity of our analytic results by performing Monte Carlo simulations.

Man overboard, Monte Carlo simulation, Search and rescue
Article No. 4
ACM
Karatas, Mumtaz
93a4833f-3dd8-4539-acac-807f065d1a50
Onggo, Bhakti Stephan
8e9a2ea5-140a-44c0-9c17-e9cf93662f80
Gunal, Murat M.
a7d7648e-c0c7-45bd-91fc-04f6b5e7d707
Karatas, Mumtaz
93a4833f-3dd8-4539-acac-807f065d1a50
Onggo, Bhakti Stephan
8e9a2ea5-140a-44c0-9c17-e9cf93662f80
Gunal, Murat M.
a7d7648e-c0c7-45bd-91fc-04f6b5e7d707

Karatas, Mumtaz, Onggo, Bhakti Stephan and Gunal, Murat M. (2018) Using simulation to measure the performance of a search operation for a man overboard. In ANSS '18 Proceedings of the Annual Simulation Symposium. ACM. 12 pp .

Record type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)

Abstract

A man overboard is defined as a situation in which a person falls out at sea from a ship and is in need of rescue. In such cases, a quick and effective search and rescue (SAR) operation are crucial to increase the survival probability of the victim. If there is no visual contact with the victim, i.e. the exact time and location that the crew was overboard, and the drift direction and speed in the region are not certain, then the situation requires conducting a rescue maneuver in an uncertain area that is expanding over time. In this study, we compute the lower and upper bounds on the performance of a search operation in an expanding area for a man overboard situation. After deriving bounds on the cumulative detection probability of the victim, we test the validity of our analytic results by performing Monte Carlo simulations.

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More information

e-pub ahead of print date: April 2018
Published date: 2018
Venue - Dates: 51st Annual Simulation Symposium, ANSS 2018, Part of the 2018 Spring Simulation Multi-Conference, SpringSim 2018, , Baltimore, United States, 2018-04-15 - 2018-04-18
Keywords: Man overboard, Monte Carlo simulation, Search and rescue

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 433799
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/433799
PURE UUID: 7cc40dc8-8b7f-4005-a85b-b2ed5dafe144
ORCID for Bhakti Stephan Onggo: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0001-5899-304X

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 04 Sep 2019 16:30
Last modified: 09 Jan 2022 04:06

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Contributors

Author: Mumtaz Karatas
Author: Murat M. Gunal

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