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Macroeconomic shocks and the German real estate market: Some stock-market-based evidence

Macroeconomic shocks and the German real estate market: Some stock-market-based evidence
Macroeconomic shocks and the German real estate market: Some stock-market-based evidence
We used a structural vector autoregressive model to study how macroeconomic supply and demand shocks affect the German real estate market. We used a real-estate-based German stock market index to measure developments in the German real estate market. We found that the real-estate-based stock market index increases in the wake of supply shocks. Demand shocks, in contrast, have a transitory depressing effect on the stock-market index. A variance decomposition and a historical decomposition show that movements of the stock-market index represent to a much larger extent the impact of supply than demand shocks.
1681-8997
981-990
Kizys, Renatas
9d3a6c5f-075a-44f9-a1de-32315b821978
Pierdzioch, C.
60eb79c6-d98e-4ceb-a634-9acaf7ebc451
Kizys, Renatas
9d3a6c5f-075a-44f9-a1de-32315b821978
Pierdzioch, C.
60eb79c6-d98e-4ceb-a634-9acaf7ebc451

Kizys, Renatas and Pierdzioch, C. (2012) Macroeconomic shocks and the German real estate market: Some stock-market-based evidence. The Empirical Economics Letters, 11 (10), 981-990.

Record type: Article

Abstract

We used a structural vector autoregressive model to study how macroeconomic supply and demand shocks affect the German real estate market. We used a real-estate-based German stock market index to measure developments in the German real estate market. We found that the real-estate-based stock market index increases in the wake of supply shocks. Demand shocks, in contrast, have a transitory depressing effect on the stock-market index. A variance decomposition and a historical decomposition show that movements of the stock-market index represent to a much larger extent the impact of supply than demand shocks.

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Published date: October 2012

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 434404
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/434404
ISSN: 1681-8997
PURE UUID: e52f7daa-08f7-4548-a890-fdc6c4cadfdc
ORCID for Renatas Kizys: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0001-9104-1809

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Date deposited: 23 Sep 2019 16:30
Last modified: 13 Dec 2021 03:33

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Contributors

Author: Renatas Kizys ORCID iD
Author: C. Pierdzioch

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