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Explaining the end of Spanish exceptionalism and electoral support for Vox

Explaining the end of Spanish exceptionalism and electoral support for Vox
Explaining the end of Spanish exceptionalism and electoral support for Vox
The 2018 regional elections in Andalucía marked the end of Spain’s exceptional status as a country with a party system free from the radical right. The electoral success of the radical right-wing challenger, Vox, who gained 11% of the vote and 12 seats in the regional parliament, brought this exceptionalism to an end. This paper analyses the individual-level determinants that explain the electoral success of Vox and the emergence of the radical right within the Spanish party system. The results indicate that concerns over devolution, likely engendered by the Catalan separatist crisis, predominantly explain voters’ preferences for the right-wing challenger. This is true both amongst the general electorate as well as amongst the former voters of other right-wing parties. Significantly, against popular assumptions and empirical observations explaining the rise of radical right-wing parties across much of Western Europe, the results display no empirical link between immigration and electoral support for Vox.
1-8
Turnbull-Dugarte, Stuart
e25c6280-842c-407f-a961-6472eea5d845
Turnbull-Dugarte, Stuart
e25c6280-842c-407f-a961-6472eea5d845

Turnbull-Dugarte, Stuart (2019) Explaining the end of Spanish exceptionalism and electoral support for Vox. Research & Politics, 6 (2), 1-8. (doi:10.1177/2053168019851680).

Record type: Article

Abstract

The 2018 regional elections in Andalucía marked the end of Spain’s exceptional status as a country with a party system free from the radical right. The electoral success of the radical right-wing challenger, Vox, who gained 11% of the vote and 12 seats in the regional parliament, brought this exceptionalism to an end. This paper analyses the individual-level determinants that explain the electoral success of Vox and the emergence of the radical right within the Spanish party system. The results indicate that concerns over devolution, likely engendered by the Catalan separatist crisis, predominantly explain voters’ preferences for the right-wing challenger. This is true both amongst the general electorate as well as amongst the former voters of other right-wing parties. Significantly, against popular assumptions and empirical observations explaining the rise of radical right-wing parties across much of Western Europe, the results display no empirical link between immigration and electoral support for Vox.

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Accepted/In Press date: 26 April 2019
e-pub ahead of print date: 21 May 2019
Published date: 2019

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 437453
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/437453
PURE UUID: 3d19cbec-341d-4695-8e11-e63e06ee45c7
ORCID for Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-9330-3945

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Date deposited: 30 Jan 2020 17:39
Last modified: 17 Mar 2024 04:01

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