When the market drives you crazy: Stock market returns and fatal car accidents
When the market drives you crazy: Stock market returns and fatal car accidents
This paper provides evidence that daily fluctuations in the stock market have important–and hitherto neglected–spillover effects on fatal car accidents. Using the universe of fatal car accidents in the United States from 1990 to 2015, we find that a one standard deviation reduction in daily stock market returns is associated with a 0.6% increase in fatal car accidents that happen after the stock market opening. A battery of falsification tests support a causal interpretation of this finding. Our results are consistent with immediate emotions stirred by a negative stock market performance influencing the number of fatal accidents, in particular among inexperienced investors.
Car accidents, Emotions, Stock market
Giulietti, Corrado
c662221c-fad3-4456-bfe3-78f8a5211158
Tonin, Mirco
2929ca00-ca4e-4eb3-bf2b-a5d233b80253
Vlassopoulos, Michael
2d557227-958c-4855-92a8-b74b398f95c7
March 2020
Giulietti, Corrado
c662221c-fad3-4456-bfe3-78f8a5211158
Tonin, Mirco
2929ca00-ca4e-4eb3-bf2b-a5d233b80253
Vlassopoulos, Michael
2d557227-958c-4855-92a8-b74b398f95c7
Giulietti, Corrado, Tonin, Mirco and Vlassopoulos, Michael
(2020)
When the market drives you crazy: Stock market returns and fatal car accidents.
Journal of Health Economics, 70, [102245].
(doi:10.1016/j.jhealeco.2019.102245).
Abstract
This paper provides evidence that daily fluctuations in the stock market have important–and hitherto neglected–spillover effects on fatal car accidents. Using the universe of fatal car accidents in the United States from 1990 to 2015, we find that a one standard deviation reduction in daily stock market returns is associated with a 0.6% increase in fatal car accidents that happen after the stock market opening. A battery of falsification tests support a causal interpretation of this finding. Our results are consistent with immediate emotions stirred by a negative stock market performance influencing the number of fatal accidents, in particular among inexperienced investors.
Text
1-s2.0-S0167629619301237-main
- Accepted Manuscript
More information
Accepted/In Press date: 4 October 2019
e-pub ahead of print date: 20 January 2020
Published date: March 2020
Keywords:
Car accidents, Emotions, Stock market
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 437616
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/437616
ISSN: 0167-6296
PURE UUID: 3184536f-9c86-4b97-9220-4472b4ea3df1
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Date deposited: 06 Feb 2020 17:33
Last modified: 17 Mar 2024 05:15
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Author:
Mirco Tonin
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