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Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method

Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method
Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method
Background: adolescent pregnancy is an important health and social issue that affects both individual and social well-being. However, deriving a national estimate is challenging in a country with multiple incomplete national databases especially the abortion statistics. The objective of this study was to estimate the adolescent pregnancy rates in Thailand using capture-recapture method.

Methods: an application of capture-recapture method was conducted using two cross-sectional databases (i.e., the national birth registration and the Ministry of Public Health standard health databases) and one hospital-based data source from medical record reviews. A 3-sources capture-recapture with log-linear model was applied to estimate adolescent pregnancy rates.

Results: a total number of 741,084, 290,922 and 25,478 records were respectively identified from the birth registrations, standard health databases and hospital-based survey data during 2008 to 2013. The estimated adolescent pregnancy rates /1000 adolescent women (95% confidence intervals (CI)) ranged from 56.3 (49.4, 66.9) to 70.3 (60.3, 76.6). The estimated rates were about 12–31% higher than adolescent birth rates reported by the Thailand Public Health Statistics.

Conclusions: with the capture-recapture method, more accurate adolescent pregnancy rates were estimated. This method should be able to apply to any setting with similar context.
Adolescent, Capture-recapture method, Pregnancy rate
1471-2393
Sukraz, Bunyarit
2d70ef1d-55e2-4d8f-95ce-3e14d2a9a0b8
Thakkinstian, Ammarin
b4954582-b5c0-49ac-a19a-70cc66a474e5
Okascharoen, Chusak
a918e1fa-fae0-4ea1-b0ca-57f0c2497b9b
Aekplakorn, Wichai
5c9d12b2-01ac-41ba-a9a8-b69697e8b5bb
Saejeng, Kittipong
2c76df1e-cf52-498e-a61f-0a8d00e2fb94
Bohning, Dankmar
1df635d4-e3dc-44d0-b61d-5fd11f6434e1
Arunakul, Jiraporn
8d329f3a-5fec-4ded-9e7b-c7dba058cce4
Sukraz, Bunyarit
2d70ef1d-55e2-4d8f-95ce-3e14d2a9a0b8
Thakkinstian, Ammarin
b4954582-b5c0-49ac-a19a-70cc66a474e5
Okascharoen, Chusak
a918e1fa-fae0-4ea1-b0ca-57f0c2497b9b
Aekplakorn, Wichai
5c9d12b2-01ac-41ba-a9a8-b69697e8b5bb
Saejeng, Kittipong
2c76df1e-cf52-498e-a61f-0a8d00e2fb94
Bohning, Dankmar
1df635d4-e3dc-44d0-b61d-5fd11f6434e1
Arunakul, Jiraporn
8d329f3a-5fec-4ded-9e7b-c7dba058cce4

Sukraz, Bunyarit, Thakkinstian, Ammarin, Okascharoen, Chusak, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Saejeng, Kittipong, Bohning, Dankmar and Arunakul, Jiraporn (2020) Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008–2013: an application of capture-recapture method. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, 20 (120), [120]. (doi:10.1186/s12884-020-2808-3).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Background: adolescent pregnancy is an important health and social issue that affects both individual and social well-being. However, deriving a national estimate is challenging in a country with multiple incomplete national databases especially the abortion statistics. The objective of this study was to estimate the adolescent pregnancy rates in Thailand using capture-recapture method.

Methods: an application of capture-recapture method was conducted using two cross-sectional databases (i.e., the national birth registration and the Ministry of Public Health standard health databases) and one hospital-based data source from medical record reviews. A 3-sources capture-recapture with log-linear model was applied to estimate adolescent pregnancy rates.

Results: a total number of 741,084, 290,922 and 25,478 records were respectively identified from the birth registrations, standard health databases and hospital-based survey data during 2008 to 2013. The estimated adolescent pregnancy rates /1000 adolescent women (95% confidence intervals (CI)) ranged from 56.3 (49.4, 66.9) to 70.3 (60.3, 76.6). The estimated rates were about 12–31% higher than adolescent birth rates reported by the Thailand Public Health Statistics.

Conclusions: with the capture-recapture method, more accurate adolescent pregnancy rates were estimated. This method should be able to apply to any setting with similar context.

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Accepted/In Press date: 12 February 2020
e-pub ahead of print date: 19 February 2020
Keywords: Adolescent, Capture-recapture method, Pregnancy rate

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 438560
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/438560
ISSN: 1471-2393
PURE UUID: e433949a-a531-4e16-ab77-360f4b4f004a
ORCID for Dankmar Bohning: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-0638-7106

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Date deposited: 17 Mar 2020 17:30
Last modified: 18 Feb 2021 17:17

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