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How simulation modelling can help reduce the impact of COVID-19

How simulation modelling can help reduce the impact of COVID-19
How simulation modelling can help reduce the impact of COVID-19

Modelling has been used extensively by all national governments and the World Health Organisation in deciding on the best strategies to pursue in mitigating the effects of COVID-19. Principally these have been epidemiological models aimed at understanding the spread of the disease and the impacts of different interventions. But a global pandemic generates a large number of problems and questions, not just those related to disease transmission, and each requires a different model to find the best solution. In this article we identify challenges resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and discuss how simulation modelling could help to support decision-makers in making the most informed decisions. Modellers should see the article as a call to arms and decision-makers as a guide to what support is available from the simulation community.

COVID-19, coronavirus, pandemic, simulation modelling
1747-7778
83-97
Currie, Christine
dcfd0972-1b42-4fac-8a67-0258cfdeb55a
Fowler, John
7b961910-d249-4184-98b9-5f4bd10ecdde
Kotiadis, Kathy
560213cd-23c8-4fd1-ad47-06de52cccffc
Monks, Thomas
c675ef05-95c4-451d-a17a-11c5a2192427
Onggo, Bhakti Stephan
8e9a2ea5-140a-44c0-9c17-e9cf93662f80
Robertson, Duncan
e71015d7-24e5-429d-ac4c-25ce5f88ae29
Tako, Antuela
ad11c5e0-e9b5-45cf-a3ad-9ff3fab9c4eb
Currie, Christine
dcfd0972-1b42-4fac-8a67-0258cfdeb55a
Fowler, John
7b961910-d249-4184-98b9-5f4bd10ecdde
Kotiadis, Kathy
560213cd-23c8-4fd1-ad47-06de52cccffc
Monks, Thomas
c675ef05-95c4-451d-a17a-11c5a2192427
Onggo, Bhakti Stephan
8e9a2ea5-140a-44c0-9c17-e9cf93662f80
Robertson, Duncan
e71015d7-24e5-429d-ac4c-25ce5f88ae29
Tako, Antuela
ad11c5e0-e9b5-45cf-a3ad-9ff3fab9c4eb

Currie, Christine, Fowler, John, Kotiadis, Kathy, Monks, Thomas, Onggo, Bhakti Stephan, Robertson, Duncan and Tako, Antuela (2020) How simulation modelling can help reduce the impact of COVID-19. Journal of Simulation, 14 (2), 83-97. (doi:10.1080/17477778.2020.1751570).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Modelling has been used extensively by all national governments and the World Health Organisation in deciding on the best strategies to pursue in mitigating the effects of COVID-19. Principally these have been epidemiological models aimed at understanding the spread of the disease and the impacts of different interventions. But a global pandemic generates a large number of problems and questions, not just those related to disease transmission, and each requires a different model to find the best solution. In this article we identify challenges resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and discuss how simulation modelling could help to support decision-makers in making the most informed decisions. Modellers should see the article as a call to arms and decision-makers as a guide to what support is available from the simulation community.

Text
How Simulation Modelling Can Help Reduce the Impact of COVID19 Resubmitted Correct Refs - Accepted Manuscript
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More information

Accepted/In Press date: 31 March 2020
Published date: 15 April 2020
Additional Information: Publisher Copyright: © 2020, © Operational Research Society 2020.
Keywords: COVID-19, coronavirus, pandemic, simulation modelling

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 439184
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/439184
ISSN: 1747-7778
PURE UUID: a93b5b66-47f4-462a-9acf-306256cb419f
ORCID for Christine Currie: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-7016-3652
ORCID for Bhakti Stephan Onggo: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0001-5899-304X

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 06 Apr 2020 16:35
Last modified: 17 Mar 2024 05:27

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Contributors

Author: John Fowler
Author: Kathy Kotiadis
Author: Thomas Monks
Author: Duncan Robertson
Author: Antuela Tako

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