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Same firm, two volatilities: how variance risk is priced in credit and equity markets

Same firm, two volatilities: how variance risk is priced in credit and equity markets
Same firm, two volatilities: how variance risk is priced in credit and equity markets

Variance risk premia (VRP) based on equity and credit market information for the same firm differ substantially in magnitude. VRP is strongly dependent on firm characteristics. Higher-leveraged and larger firms have lower VRP. The smirk in the plot of VRP vs. leverage is higher for low-levered firms than for high-levered firms. This smirk is more pronounced in the credit market than in the equity market. VRP, and especially credit VRP, correlates with higher future returns and is a priced source of risk in both markets.

CDS, Implied volatility, Realized volatility, Stocks, Variance risk premia
0929-1199
Kita, Arben
fd98ff4d-435a-4b69-8a7f-13171bf5c1fc
Tortorice, Daniel L.
72935ec6-7c72-492f-836f-10f38226804f
Kita, Arben
fd98ff4d-435a-4b69-8a7f-13171bf5c1fc
Tortorice, Daniel L.
72935ec6-7c72-492f-836f-10f38226804f

Kita, Arben and Tortorice, Daniel L. (2021) Same firm, two volatilities: how variance risk is priced in credit and equity markets. Journal of Corporate Finance, 69, [101885]. (doi:10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2021.101885).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Variance risk premia (VRP) based on equity and credit market information for the same firm differ substantially in magnitude. VRP is strongly dependent on firm characteristics. Higher-leveraged and larger firms have lower VRP. The smirk in the plot of VRP vs. leverage is higher for low-levered firms than for high-levered firms. This smirk is more pronounced in the credit market than in the equity market. VRP, and especially credit VRP, correlates with higher future returns and is a priced source of risk in both markets.

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More information

Accepted/In Press date: 5 January 2021
e-pub ahead of print date: 28 February 2021
Keywords: CDS, Implied volatility, Realized volatility, Stocks, Variance risk premia

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 448473
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/448473
ISSN: 0929-1199
PURE UUID: c115880e-59c1-4dab-87ed-50a17c2eb914

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Date deposited: 22 Apr 2021 16:48
Last modified: 27 Apr 2022 06:59

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Contributors

Author: Arben Kita
Author: Daniel L. Tortorice

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